United States - USL ChampionshipCashman FieldData current as of October 18, 2026

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Las Vegas Lights plays Lexington in USL Championship (United States). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Cashman Field.

Recent form

Las Vegas Lights has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Lexington has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Las Vegas Lights scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.46. Lexington scores 1.75 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Las Vegas Lights's games and 54% of Lexington's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 57%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Lexington has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.42 per game. Las Vegas Lights takes 12.2 shots per game, while Lexington takes 14.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Las Vegas Lights leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Lexington leads at halftime in 25% and scores 1.07 after halftime.

When the teams score

Las Vegas Lights's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Lexington, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL Championship games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.05)
(3.54)
(2.02)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Las Vegas LightsLexington
1.32Goals scored / game1.75
Las Vegas LightsLexington
1.46Goals allowed / game1.18
Las Vegas LightsLexington
53%Average possession51%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
3.82Shots on target / game4.93
Las Vegas LightsLexington

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.18Shots per game14.21
Las Vegas LightsLexington
3.82Shots on target4.93
Las Vegas LightsLexington
10.9%Shot conversion12.3%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
53%Possession51%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
1.42xG for1.65
Las Vegas LightsLexington
1.37xG against1.32
Las Vegas LightsLexington

Shooting quality

Las Vegas Lights: BalancedLexington: Attacking
Las Vegas LightsLexington
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lexington is 86% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Las Vegas Lights · 2.6 pts / game - Lexington

Las Vegas Lights
WDLWL
Season result split
36% W21% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-12
1.29 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-5-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Lexington
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
46% W18% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-5-10
1.57 pts / game · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-6
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.48Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lexington is 33% better for: goals scored per game.

1.32 goals / game - Las Vegas Lights · 1.75 goals / game - Lexington

Lexington is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.46 goals / game - Las Vegas Lights · 1.18 goals / game - Lexington

Las Vegas Lights scoring profile: very strong

Las Vegas Lights scores in 86% of games (24 of 28 games), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 games).

Lexington scoring profile: very strong

Lexington scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 games), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 games).

37Goals scored (season)49
Las Vegas LightsLexington
41Goals conceded (season)33
Las Vegas LightsLexington
2.79Average goals per game2.93
Las Vegas LightsLexington
8Goals scored (last 5)16
Las Vegas LightsLexington
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Las Vegas LightsLexington

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal75%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
46%2 goals46%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
0%3 goals32%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
0%4 goals14%
Las Vegas LightsLexington

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal64%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
43%2 goals36%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
29%3 goals14%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
4%4 goals4%
Las Vegas LightsLexington

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time14%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
14%BTTS in both halves4%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
25%Scored in both halves29%
Las Vegas LightsLexington

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
60%BTTS - last 560%
Las Vegas LightsLexington

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Las Vegas LightsLexington

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Las Vegas LightsLexington

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lexington is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / game - Las Vegas Lights · 1.29 pts / game - Lexington

Las Vegas Lights - half-time state
25% leading46% draw29% trailing
Lexington - half-time state
25% leading54% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per game (1st half)1.29
Las Vegas LightsLexington
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.68
Las Vegas LightsLexington
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
Las Vegas LightsLexington
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.14
Las Vegas LightsLexington
39%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
43%No goal before half-time61%
Las Vegas LightsLexington

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per game (2nd half)1.5
Las Vegas LightsLexington
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)1.07
Las Vegas LightsLexington
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Las Vegas LightsLexington
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.79
Las Vegas LightsLexington
57%Clean sheet after half-time46%
Las Vegas LightsLexington
46%No goal after half-time36%
Las Vegas LightsLexington

Las Vegas Lights - second-half results

29% W39% D32% L
34
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Lexington - second-half results

39% W32% D29% L
36
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding184%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Las Vegas Lights - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.00
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game1.00.4
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Lexington - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.60
Goals scored / game1.41.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.82.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+5+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Las Vegas Lights
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
3
7
16-30
8
10
31-45
6
10
46-60
6
3
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Lexington
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
5
5
16-30
6
4
31-45
8
2
46-60
10
8
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Las Vegas Lights

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Lexington

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+1.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Las Vegas LightsLigaLexington
Average goals per game• 2.792.70▲ 2.93
Both teams scored▲ 64%55%• 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 50%49%▲ 57%
Clean sheets▲ 29%27%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%66%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%78%▲ 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Las Vegas Lights's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Lexington. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.

Lexington
2 : 0
Las Vegas Lights
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 1
Lexington
Las Vegas Lights FC
1 : 0
Lexington SC
Lexington SC
0 : 0
Las Vegas Lights FC

FAQ

When do Las Vegas Lights and Lexington play?

Las Vegas Lights face Lexington on October 18, 2026 in USL Championship at Cashman Field. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Las Vegas Lights and Lexington?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Las Vegas Lights won 2, Lexington won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?

Las Vegas Lights score 1.32 goals per game on average and Lexington 1.75. The USL Championship average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Las Vegas Lights's matches and 54% of Lexington's.

What form are Las Vegas Lights and Lexington in?

Over the last 5 games Las Vegas Lights have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lexington 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?

The statistical background for Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.