Latina vs Catania: match statistics
Catania has demonstrated a clearly higher quality throughout the season with 18 victories compared to Latina's mere 8 wins. The visitors possess a far superior goal difference (50 goals scored versus 19 conceded) compared to the hosts (26 scored, 38 conceded). Catania is characterized by a higher conversion rate (10% shot conversion vs Latina's 7%) and a better average xG away from home (1.46 vs the hosts' 1.28 at home). Latina has shown poor form in their last 5 matches with only 2 wins and 3 defeats, while Catania, despite their recent 3 draws, has a more solid foundation. Catania's higher average of shots on target (4.13 vs 2.63) and a lower percentage of matches without a scored goal (19% vs Latina's 50%) further speak in favor of the visitors. Considering all statistics, Catania holds the advantage, although their tendency for draws (44% away) makes this outcome also quite probable.
Latina vs Catania: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Latina play Catania in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Latina: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Catania: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Latina scores 0.92 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Catania scores 1.42 and concedes 0.66. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Latina 45%, Catania 37%. Over 2.5: Latina 32%, Catania 29%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Catania has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.22. Latina: 9.6 shots per match, Catania: 12.3.
Match halves
Latina: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.61. Catania: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Latina: 61-75 (12 goals). Catania: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Catania has demonstrated a clearly higher quality throughout the season with 18 victories compared to Latina's mere 8 wins. The visitors possess a far superior goal difference (50 goals scored versus 19 conceded) compared to the hosts (26 scored, 38 conceded). Catania is characterized by a higher conversion rate (10% shot conversion vs Latina's 7%) and a better average xG away from home (1.46 vs the hosts' 1.28 at home). Latina has shown poor form in their last 5 matches with only 2 wins and 3 defeats, while Catania, despite their recent 3 draws, has a more solid foundation. Catania's higher average of shots on target (4.13 vs 2.63) and a lower percentage of matches without a scored goal (19% vs Latina's 50%) further speak in favor of the visitors. Considering all statistics, Catania holds the advantage, although their tendency for draws (44% away) makes this outcome also quite probable.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Latina | Catania | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Latina is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Latina · 1 pts / match - Catania
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catania is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Latina · 1.42 goals / match - Catania
Catania is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Latina · 0.66 goals / match - Catania
Latina scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 58% (22 of 38 matches).
Catania scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Latina keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Latina
Over / Under — Catania
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catania is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Latina · 1.55 pts / match - Catania
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Latina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Catania - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Latina
Catania
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Latina | Liga | Catania | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 51% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 46% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Latina 0 - 0 - 1 Catania. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Latina vs Catania?
The Serie C Group C match finished Latina 0:1 Catania. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Latina vs Catania?
Latina score 0.92 goals per game on average and Catania 1.42. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Latina's matches and 37% of Catania's.
What form are Latina and Catania in?
Over the last 5 games Latina have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Catania 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Latina vs Catania?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Latina vs Catania: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.