Lazio vs Fiorentina: match statistics
Lazio presents decidedly better home form with a 44% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6) at their own stadium. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 56% of home matches, demonstrating a solid defense. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has disastrous away statistics—0% wins on the road, a negative goal difference (-9), and a 56% loss rate in away games. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 56% of away fixtures, which, combined with an average of just 0.56 goals per match, makes their offense highly ineffective. Fiorentina's advantage in possession (53%) does not translate into efficiency, and their low shot conversion rate (5%) confirms problems with finishing. Considering all these factors, Lazio holds a clear advantage and should win, although the recent form of both teams (1.2 points per match each) suggests a draw as an alternative scenario.
Lazio vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lazio play Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 7 January 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Lazio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Fiorentina: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lazio scores 1.08 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Fiorentina scores 1.08 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lazio 29%, Fiorentina 58%. Over 2.5: Lazio 32%, Fiorentina 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Fiorentina has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.26. Lazio: 11.0 shots per match, Fiorentina: 12.9.
Match halves
Lazio: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.66. Fiorentina: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Lazio: 76-90+ (15 goals). Fiorentina: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Lazio presents decidedly better home form with a 44% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6) at their own stadium. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 56% of home matches, demonstrating a solid defense. Fiorentina, on the other hand, has disastrous away statistics—0% wins on the road, a negative goal difference (-9), and a 56% loss rate in away games. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in 56% of away fixtures, which, combined with an average of just 0.56 goals per match, makes their offense highly ineffective. Fiorentina's advantage in possession (53%) does not translate into efficiency, and their low shot conversion rate (5%) confirms problems with finishing. Considering all these factors, Lazio holds a clear advantage and should win, although the recent form of both teams (1.2 points per match each) suggests a draw as an alternative scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lazio | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lazio is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Lazio · 1.2 pts / match - Fiorentina
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lazio is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Lazio · 1.32 goals / match - Fiorentina
Lazio scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Fiorentina scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Lazio keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lazio
Over / Under — Fiorentina
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lazio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lazio
Fiorentina
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Lazio | Liga | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.43 | • 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 45% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lazio 0 - 0 - 1 Fiorentina. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lazio vs Fiorentina?
The Serie A match finished Lazio 2:2 Fiorentina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lazio vs Fiorentina?
Lazio score 1.08 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.08. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Lazio's matches and 58% of Fiorentina's.
What form are Lazio and Fiorentina in?
Over the last 5 games Lazio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fiorentina 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lazio vs Fiorentina?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lazio vs Fiorentina: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.