Le Havre vs Toulouse: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between the teams. Le Havre displays solid home form with a 36% win rate and only 18% losses at their home ground, while their goal difference in home matches is +3. Toulouse, despite a better league position (8th place), has an identical away goal difference (+3) and a 40% win rate, but also 40% losses on the road. A key factor is recent form – both teams have averaged 1.6-2.0 points per match in their last five games. xG statistics show the hosts' advantage (1.49 vs 1.12), however Toulouse has a better shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%). Considering Le Havre's high draw rate in home matches (45%) and the similar average goals per match for both teams (around 2.1), the most likely scenario is a points share.
Le Havre vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Le Havre played against Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Le Havre has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Toulouse has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Le Havre scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 1.24. Toulouse scores 1.48 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Le Havre's games and 38% of Toulouse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 48%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toulouse has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.28 per game. Le Havre takes 11.2 shots per game, while Toulouse takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Le Havre leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Toulouse leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.95 after halftime.
When the teams score
Le Havre's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Toulouse, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between the teams. Le Havre displays solid home form with a 36% win rate and only 18% losses at their home ground, while their goal difference in home matches is +3. Toulouse, despite a better league position (8th place), has an identical away goal difference (+3) and a 40% win rate, but also 40% losses on the road. A key factor is recent form – both teams have averaged 1.6-2.0 points per match in their last five games. xG statistics show the hosts' advantage (1.49 vs 1.12), however Toulouse has a better shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%). Considering Le Havre's high draw rate in home matches (45%) and the similar average goals per match for both teams (around 2.1), the most likely scenario is a points share.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Le Havre | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Le Havre is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Le Havre · 1.4 pts / game - Toulouse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toulouse is 72% better for: goals scored per game.
0.86 goals / game - Le Havre · 1.48 goals / game - Toulouse
Toulouse is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.24 goals / game - Le Havre · 1.14 goals / game - Toulouse
Le Havre scores in 57% of games (12 of 21 meczów), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 meczów).
Toulouse scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Le Havre keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Le Havre
Over / Under - Toulouse
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toulouse is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / game - Le Havre · 1.24 pts / game - Toulouse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Le Havre - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Le Havre
Toulouse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Le Havre | Liga | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.10 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Le Havre's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Toulouse. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Le Havre vs Toulouse?
The Ligue 1 match finished Le Havre 2:1 Toulouse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Le Havre score 0.86 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.48. The Ligue 1 average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Le Havre's matches and 38% of Toulouse's.
What form are Le Havre and Toulouse in?
Over the last 5 games Le Havre have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Toulouse 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Le Havre vs Toulouse?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Le Havre vs Toulouse: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.