France - Ligue 1Stade de La PincenardièreData current as of October 14, 2026

Le Mans vs Toulouse: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Le Mans vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Le Mans plays Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: Stade de La Pincenardière.

Recent form

Le Mans has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Toulouse has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Le Mans scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 2.00. Toulouse scores 1.50 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Le Mans's games and 67% of Toulouse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 67%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Toulouse has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.21 per game. Le Mans takes 10.5 shots per game, while Toulouse takes 13.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Le Mans leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Toulouse leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Le Mans's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Toulouse, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligue 1 games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.55)
(3.80)
(2.13)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.67Goals scored / game1.5
Le MansToulouse
2Goals allowed / game1.83
Le MansToulouse
43%Average possession51%
Le MansToulouse
4.67Shots on target / game4.5
Le MansToulouse

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.5Shots per game13.67
Le MansToulouse
4.67Shots on target4.5
Le MansToulouse
15.9%Shot conversion11%
Le MansToulouse
43%Possession51%
Le MansToulouse
1.21xG for1.51
Le MansToulouse
1.82xG against1.61
Le MansToulouse

Shooting quality

Le Mans: Counter-attackingToulouse: Balanced
Le MansToulouse
Accuracy (shots on target)44%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Toulouse is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Le Mans · 1.2 pts / game - Toulouse

Le Mans
LDDWL
Season result split
17% W50% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
DDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Toulouse
DLDWD
Season result split
17% W50% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-0
Last 5 away
0-3-0
DDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Le Mans is 11% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Le Mans · 1.5 goals / game - Toulouse

Toulouse is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Le Mans · 1.83 goals / game - Toulouse

Le Mans scoring profile: very strong

Le Mans scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 games).

Toulouse scoring profile: very strong

Toulouse scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 games), while Le Mans keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 games).

10Goals scored (season)9
Le MansToulouse
12Goals conceded (season)11
Le MansToulouse
3.67Average goals per game3.33
Le MansToulouse
8Goals scored (last 5)9
Le MansToulouse
10Goals conceded (last 5)9
Le MansToulouse

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
Le MansToulouse
67%2 goals67%
Le MansToulouse
0%3 goals17%
Le MansToulouse
0%4 goals0%
Le MansToulouse

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Le MansToulouse
67%2 goals83%
Le MansToulouse
33%3 goals0%
Le MansToulouse
0%4 goals0%
Le MansToulouse

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time17%
Le MansToulouse
33%BTTS in both halves17%
Le MansToulouse
50%Scored in both halves17%
Le MansToulouse

BTTS and goal count

83%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Le MansToulouse
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Le MansToulouse
100%BTTS - last 580%
Le MansToulouse

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Le MansToulouse
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Le MansToulouse
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Le MansToulouse

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Le MansToulouse
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
Le MansToulouse
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Le MansToulouse

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Le Mans is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - Le Mans · 0.67 pts / game - Toulouse

Le Mans - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Toulouse - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)0.67
Le MansToulouse
1Goals scored (1st half)0.17
Le MansToulouse
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
Le MansToulouse
2Average goals (1st half)1
Le MansToulouse
17%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Le MansToulouse
17%No goal before half-time83%
Le MansToulouse

After half-time (2nd half)

0.67Points per game (2nd half)1.67
Le MansToulouse
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
Le MansToulouse
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Le MansToulouse
1.67Average goals (2nd half)2.33
Le MansToulouse
17%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Le MansToulouse
33%No goal after half-time33%
Le MansToulouse

Le Mans - second-half results

0% W67% D33% L
8
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Toulouse - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Le Mans - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game2.01.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Toulouse - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.00
Goals scored / game0.21.6
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game1.22.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Le Mans
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
4
1
46-60
0
3
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Toulouse
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
5
0
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
120%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Le Mans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Toulouse

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

Le MansLigaToulouse
Average goals per game▲ 3.672.91▲ 3.33
Both teams scored▲ 100%61%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%61%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 0%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%70%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%81%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.91
Average goals per game
61%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
59%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Le Mans and Toulouse play?

Le Mans face Toulouse on October 16, 2026 in Ligue 1 at Stade de La Pincenardière. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Le Mans vs Toulouse?

Le Mans score 1.67 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.50. The Ligue 1 average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Le Mans's matches and 67% of Toulouse's.

What form are Le Mans and Toulouse in?

Over the last 5 games Le Mans have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Toulouse 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Le Mans vs Toulouse?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.