Leça vs Varzim: match statistics
Leça vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leça played against Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on October 31, 2026. Venue: Estádio do Leça Futebol Clube. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Leça has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Varzim has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Leça scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.29. Varzim scores 1.57 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Leça's games and 71% of Varzim's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 71%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Leça has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.29 per game. Leça takes 10.1 shots per game, while Varzim takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Leça leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Varzim leads at halftime in 71% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leça's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Varzim, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leça have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 2 in that period, while Varzim have lost all 5 games, conceding 11 goals. This disparity in current form points to the hosts, although their home record — one win, one draw and one defeat — does not justify making them overwhelming favorites. Varzim remain dangerous away from home: they have won 2 of 3 such matches and average 2 goals per game, compared with Leça’s 1 goal at home. The quality of chances is similar, with the visitors’ away xG at 1.63 and the hosts’ home xG at 1.51, but Varzim concede chances worth an average of 1.60 xG away from home, compared with Leça’s 1.04 at home. A more solid defense and a clearly stronger recent run tip the forecast in Leça’s favor, despite the visitors’ attacking potential.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
This season, both teams have often been involved in matches with goals at both ends: 75% of Leça’s games and 67% of Varzim’s ended BTTS. Varzim average 2.0 goals per match and 6.33 shots on target, while Leça concede an average of 2.0 goals, pointing to an away-team goal. The hosts also have attacking credentials: they score an average of 1.25 goals, and Varzim have conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game over their last 5 matches. Leça’s improved defensive form warrants some caution, as they have conceded just 0.4 goals per game in their last 5 outings. However, the overall statistical picture favors BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to at least two goals: this occurred in 75% of Leça’s matches and 67% of Varzim’s. Varzim averaged 2.0 goals scored per game this season, while Leça conceded 2.0, although recent form paints a different picture: the hosts scored 9 goals and conceded just 2 in their last five matches, while the visitors scored 5 and conceded 11. The attacking potential of both sides is supported by their xG figures: Leça average 1.03 and Varzim 1.63. An estimated total of 2.90 goals gives Over 1.5 a clearer edge than Over 2.5, especially given the contrast in the teams’ recent results: Over 2.5 goals landed in 20% of Leça’s five matches and 80% of Varzim’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is recent form: Leça have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Varzim have lost all 5. The hosts led at the break in 4 of those 5 matches, whereas the visitors were trailing at half-time in 3 of 5, which points to Leça taking the lead after 45 minutes. Leça have not conceded after the break in their last 5 matches, while Varzim have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game over that span, making Leça to hold their lead the most likely outcome. Caution is still warranted, however, as Varzim have won 67% of their matches in the home-and-away split, compared with Leça’s 25% home win rate. Despite this discrepancy, the hosts’ markedly stronger recent results across both halves point primarily to a 1/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leça | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 51% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Leça is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Leça · 0.6 pts / game - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varzim is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Leça · 1.57 goals / game - Varzim
Leça is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Leça · 1.57 goals / game - Varzim
Leça scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
Varzim scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Leça keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leça
Over / Under - Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varzim is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Leça · 2.14 pts / game - Varzim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leça - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 71% of games and wins 43%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leça
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Leça | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.57 | 2.63 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Leça vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished Leça 2:0 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leça vs Varzim?
Leça score 1.29 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.57. The Liga 3 average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Leça's matches and 71% of Varzim's.
What form are Leça and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games Leça have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Varzim 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leça vs Varzim?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leça vs Varzim: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.