Italy - Serie AData current as of 18 July 2026

Lecce vs Atalanta: match statistics

Lecce crest
Lecce
0 : 3half-time 0:1
Atalanta crest
Atalanta

Lecce vs Atalanta: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lecce play Atalanta in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Lecce: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Atalanta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lecce scores 0.74 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Atalanta scores 1.34 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lecce 37%, Atalanta 53%. Over 2.5: Lecce 37%, Atalanta 37%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Atalanta has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.09. Lecce: 9.8 shots per match, Atalanta: 14.8.

Match halves

Lecce: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.32. Atalanta: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Lecce: 0-15 (8 goals). Atalanta: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Atalanta are the favorites in this matchup: they sit 7th with 41 goals scored this season, while Lecce are 17th with only 21. Away, Atalanta average 12.21 shots, 3.86 on target and maintain 54% possession, whereas Lecce at home record 10.67 shots, 2.87 on target and 45% possession — a clear qualitative advantage in chance creation for the visitors. In terms of efficiency, Atalanta have an away xG of 1.41 versus Lecce’s home xG of 1.17 and convert roughly 9% of shots compared to about 7% for the hosts; additionally Atalanta fail to score in only 14% of away matches, while Lecce fail to score at home in 53% of cases, which significantly reduces the hosts’ prospects. Both teams do, however, show form issues: Lecce have 1 win in the last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 9, while Atalanta also have 1 win in their last 5 but have conceded 13; seasonally Lecce concede 1.27 goals per home game and Atalanta concede 1.00 goals per away game. Considering Atalanta’s seasonal advantage in goals (41 vs 21), possession (54% vs 45%) and shots on target (3.86 vs 2.87), coupled with the visitors’ defensive vulnerability in the last five matches, I project an away victory for Atalanta.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
LecceAtalanta
11Shots16
LecceAtalanta
0Shots on target6
LecceAtalanta
1.08xG1.78
LecceAtalanta
2Corners5
LecceAtalanta
52Dangerous attacks49
LecceAtalanta
10Fouls18
LecceAtalanta
0Cards1
LecceAtalanta

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.74Goals scored / match1.34
LecceAtalanta
1.32Goals conceded / match0.95
LecceAtalanta
42%Average possession55%
LecceAtalanta
2.55Shots on target / match4.61
LecceAtalanta

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.82Shots per match14.79
LecceAtalanta
2.55Shots on target4.61
LecceAtalanta
7.5%Shot conversion9.1%
LecceAtalanta
42%Possession55%
LecceAtalanta
1.09xG for1.64
LecceAtalanta
1.45xG against1.33
LecceAtalanta

Shooting quality

Lecce: BalancedAtalanta: Dominant
LecceAtalanta
Accuracy (shots on target)26%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lecce is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Lecce · 1 pts / match - Atalanta

Lecce
DWLWW
Season result split
26% W21% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-20
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-5-9
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Atalanta
LDWLD
Season result split
39% W37% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-14-9
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-8-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atalanta is 81% better for: goals scored per match.

0.74 goals / match - Lecce · 1.34 goals / match - Atalanta

Atalanta is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.32 goals / match - Lecce · 0.95 goals / match - Atalanta

Lecce scoring profile: mixed

Lecce scores in 50% of matches (19 of 38 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

Atalanta scoring profile: very strong

Atalanta scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

28Goals scored (season)51
LecceAtalanta
50Goals conceded (season)36
LecceAtalanta
2.05Average goals in match2.29
LecceAtalanta
6Goals scored (last 5)6
LecceAtalanta
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
LecceAtalanta

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal79%
LecceAtalanta
21%2 goals37%
LecceAtalanta
3%3 goals13%
LecceAtalanta
0%4 goals5%
LecceAtalanta

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal66%
LecceAtalanta
42%2 goals18%
LecceAtalanta
13%3 goals11%
LecceAtalanta
3%4 goals0%
LecceAtalanta

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time11%
LecceAtalanta
5%BTTS in both halves0%
LecceAtalanta
8%Scored in both halves24%
LecceAtalanta

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS26%
LecceAtalanta
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
LecceAtalanta
40%BTTS - last 560%
LecceAtalanta

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
LecceAtalanta
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
LecceAtalanta
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
LecceAtalanta

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
LecceAtalanta
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time34%
LecceAtalanta
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
LecceAtalanta

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atalanta is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Lecce · 1.47 pts / match - Atalanta

Lecce - half-time state
24% leading47% draw29% trailing
Atalanta - half-time state
37% leading37% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.47
LecceAtalanta
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.63
LecceAtalanta
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
LecceAtalanta
0.89Average goals (1st half)1.11
LecceAtalanta
61%Clean sheet before half-time63%
LecceAtalanta
66%No goal before half-time53%
LecceAtalanta

After half-time (2nd half)

0.82Points per match (2nd half)1.53
LecceAtalanta
0.32Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
LecceAtalanta
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
LecceAtalanta
1.16Average goals (2nd half)1.18
LecceAtalanta
39%Clean sheet after half-time58%
LecceAtalanta
76%No goal after half-time45%
LecceAtalanta

Lecce - second-half results

16% W34% R50% P
45
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding108%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atalanta - second-half results

37% W42% R21% P
56
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding105%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lecce - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Atalanta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lecce
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
5
10
16-30
3
6
31-45
2
9
46-60
4
14
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Atalanta
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
5
8
16-30
11
7
31-45
8
4
46-60
6
5
61-75
13
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+130%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lecce

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Atalanta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

LecceLigaAtalanta
Average goals in match 2.052.43 2.29
Both teams scored 37%45% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 37%46% 37%
Clean sheets 26%32% 34%
Goal before half-time 61%66% 74%
Goal after half-time 71%77% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Lecce 0 - 0 - 1 Atalanta. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Atalanta Bergamasca Calcio
4 : 1
US Lecce

FAQ

What was the result of Lecce vs Atalanta?

The Serie A match finished Lecce 0:3 Atalanta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lecce vs Atalanta?

Lecce score 0.74 goals per game on average and Atalanta 1.34. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Lecce's matches and 53% of Atalanta's.

What form are Lecce and Atalanta in?

Over the last 5 games Lecce have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Atalanta 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecce vs Atalanta?

The statistical background for Lecce vs Atalanta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.