Lecco vs Novara: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to even chances for both teams with a slight edge towards a draw. Lecco shows solid home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+5), however, their recent overall form raises concerns (only 1 point per game in their last 5 fixtures). Novara is characterized by an exceptionally high percentage of away draws (67%), which, combined with their current excellent form (2.2 points per game in their last 5 matches, unbeaten streak), makes them a tough opponent. Lecco's ball possession advantage (59% vs 47%) may be neutralized by the defensive solidity of the visitors, who keep a clean sheet in 40% of their away matches. Considering Novara's tendency to draw on the road and the hosts' unstable recent form, sharing the points seems the most likely outcome.
Lecco vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lecco play Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Lecco: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Novara: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lecco scores 1.24 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Novara scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lecco 37%, Novara 53%. Over 2.5: Lecco 34%, Novara 32%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Novara has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.35. Lecco: 10.4 shots per match, Novara: 11.6.
Match halves
Lecco: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.42. Novara: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Lecco: 16-30 (13 goals). Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to even chances for both teams with a slight edge towards a draw. Lecco shows solid home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+5), however, their recent overall form raises concerns (only 1 point per game in their last 5 fixtures). Novara is characterized by an exceptionally high percentage of away draws (67%), which, combined with their current excellent form (2.2 points per game in their last 5 matches, unbeaten streak), makes them a tough opponent. Lecco's ball possession advantage (59% vs 47%) may be neutralized by the defensive solidity of the visitors, who keep a clean sheet in 40% of their away matches. Considering Novara's tendency to draw on the road and the hosts' unstable recent form, sharing the points seems the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lecco | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lecco is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Lecco · 0.6 pts / match - Novara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lecco is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Lecco · 1.05 goals / match - Novara
Lecco is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Lecco · 1.03 goals / match - Novara
Lecco scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Novara scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lecco
Over / Under — Novara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / match - Lecco · 1.21 pts / match - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lecco
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Lecco | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.34 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 43% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 30% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 66% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lecco 0 - 0 - 1 Novara. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lecco vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Lecco 0:0 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lecco vs Novara?
Lecco score 1.24 goals per game on average and Novara 1.05. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Lecco's matches and 53% of Novara's.
What form are Lecco and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Lecco have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Novara 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecco vs Novara?
The statistical background for Lecco vs Novara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.