Lecco vs Novara: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to even chances for both teams with a slight edge towards a draw. Lecco shows solid home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+5), however, their recent overall form raises concerns (only 1 point per game in their last 5 fixtures). Novara is characterized by an exceptionally high percentage of away draws (67%), which, combined with their current excellent form (2.2 points per game in their last 5 matches, unbeaten streak), makes them a tough opponent. Lecco's ball possession advantage (59% vs 47%) may be neutralized by the defensive solidity of the visitors, who keep a clean sheet in 40% of their away matches. Considering Novara's tendency to draw on the road and the hosts' unstable recent form, sharing the points seems the most likely outcome.
Lecco vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lecco played against Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Lecco has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Novara has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Lecco scores 1.16 goals per game and allows 0.84. Novara scores 1.03 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.27 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Lecco's games and 55% of Novara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 26%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Novara has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.28 per game. Lecco takes 9.8 shots per game, while Novara takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Lecco leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Novara leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lecco's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (10 goals). For Novara, it is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.27 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to even chances for both teams with a slight edge towards a draw. Lecco shows solid home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+5), however, their recent overall form raises concerns (only 1 point per game in their last 5 fixtures). Novara is characterized by an exceptionally high percentage of away draws (67%), which, combined with their current excellent form (2.2 points per game in their last 5 matches, unbeaten streak), makes them a tough opponent. Lecco's ball possession advantage (59% vs 47%) may be neutralized by the defensive solidity of the visitors, who keep a clean sheet in 40% of their away matches. Considering Novara's tendency to draw on the road and the hosts' unstable recent form, sharing the points seems the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lecco | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Novara is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Lecco · 2.2 pts / game - Novara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lecco is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.16 goals / game - Lecco · 1.03 goals / game - Novara
Lecco is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.84 goals / game - Lecco · 0.94 goals / game - Novara
Lecco scores in 71% of games (22 of 31 meczów), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 meczów).
Novara scores in 71% of games (22 of 31 meczów), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 42% (13 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lecco
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / game - Lecco · 1.23 pts / game - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lecco
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Lecco | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.27 | ▼ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 41% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Lecco's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Novara. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lecco vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Lecco 0:0 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lecco vs Novara?
Lecco score 1.16 goals per game on average and Novara 1.03. The Serie C Group A average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Lecco's matches and 55% of Novara's.
What form are Lecco and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Lecco have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Novara 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lecco vs Novara?
The statistical background for Lecco vs Novara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.