Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa: match statistics
Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lech Poznań played against Legia Warszawa in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on April 26, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Lech Poznań has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Legia Warszawa has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Lech Poznań scores 1.76 goals per game and allows 1.41. Legia Warszawa scores 1.17 and allows 1.10. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Lech Poznań's games and 62% of Legia Warszawa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 38%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lech Poznań has the higher season xG average, 1.92 to 1.74 per game. Lech Poznań takes 17.2 shots per game, while Legia Warszawa takes 15.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Lech Poznań leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Legia Warszawa leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lech Poznań's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Legia Warszawa, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are hosts Lech Poznań: at home they average 2.29 goals per game and register 6.71 shots on target, while Legia away only has 1.14 goals and 4.14 shots on target per match. Lech posts a higher home xG (2.08) than Legia away (1.72) and better chance conversion (12% conversion vs 8% for Legia), and additionally the hosts have had no home games without scoring (0% such matches). On the other hand Legia defends more solidly on the road — visitors concede on average 1.43 goals and have 14% clean sheets, whereas Lech concedes 1.86 goals at home and has only 7% clean sheets. In the last 5 matches Lech averages 2.2 points per game (3 wins, 2 draws), and Legia 1.8 points per game (2 wins, 3 draws); moreover Legia records 50% draws away, which increases the probability of a point split. Considering Lech’s dominance in chance creation (on average 19 shots and 6.71 shots on target at home), higher xG (2.08 vs 1.72) and better finishing efficiency, I forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics indicate an advantage for the BTTS - Yes scenario: season BTTS rates are 53% for Lech and 71% for Legia (average 62%), while the league BTTS rate is 59%. In the last 5 matches Lech has BTTS 80% and scores on average 2.2 goals per game (11 goals in 5), and Legia has BTTS 60% and scores 1.2 on average (6 goals in 5), suggesting Lech is in attacking form and both teams score regularly. Both teams' xG is high: 1.77 for Lech and 1.72 for Legia, total xG ~3.49 is clearly above the league average goals 2.73, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. On the other hand Lech concedes on average 0.8 goals this season (1.2 in the last 5), and Legia concedes 1.43 goals away this season (0.6 in the last 5) and has only 14% clean sheets versus Lech's 40%, so Legia's susceptibility to conceding also favors BTTS. Considering the teams' seasonal 62% average BTTS, recent trends and high xG, I assess BTTS probability at 72% vs 28% and pick the selection "yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 2.97 goals in this match (Lech 1.54, Legia 1.43), based on a weighted combination of season xG: Lech 1.77 and Legia 1.72, and recent 5-game form (Lech xG 2.13, Legia xG 1.50). Lech has averaged 2.2 goals in the last 5 matches (11 goals), Legia 1.2 goals (6 goals); seasonally Lech concedes 0.80 goals, Legia 1.43, indicating an offensive edge for Lech. Season Over/Under rates show Lech had 53% of matches with over 1.5 goals, Legia 93%, and a Poisson model with λ=2.97 yields P(over 1.5) ≈ 80%. For the 2.5 line the model returns P(over 2.5) ≈ 57%, and for 3.5 ≈ 35%, i.e. moderate support for Over 2.5 and weaker for Over 3.5. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over at 1.5), since the combination of xG and recent form produces the highest probability of passing that threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Lech shows a strong signal to lead at the break: they led at half-time in 40% of matches this season and in 60% of their last five games, while Legia have led away in only 14% of season matches (40% in their last five). Before the break Lech concedes an average of 0.27 goals, and Legia concedes an average of 0.93 goals away; in the last five Lech scored an average of 1.2 goals by half-time compared to Legia’s 0.6, indicating a home advantage in the first half. At full-time Lech also have superior points and result metrics: 1.6 points per home game this season versus Legia’s 0.93 points away, and a win percentage of 40% vs 14% (season). xG is similar (1.77 for Lech vs 1.72 for Legia), but Lech concede fewer goals over the season (0.8 vs 1.43), so they have a higher probability of maintaining a lead and turning a good first half into a victory. For these reasons the most reliable scenario is Lech leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lech Poznań | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lech Poznań is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Lech Poznań · 1.8 pts / game - Legia Warszawa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.76 goals / game - Lech Poznań · 1.17 goals / game - Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.41 goals / game - Lech Poznań · 1.1 goals / game - Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznań scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 meczów), while Legia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 meczów).
Legia Warszawa scores in 79% of games (23 of 29 meczów), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
Over / Under - Legia Warszawa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.66 pts / game - Lech Poznań · 1.21 pts / game - Legia Warszawa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Legia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lech Poznań
Legia Warszawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Lech Poznań | Liga | Legia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.17 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 59% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 24% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Lech Poznań's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Legia Warszawa. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Lech Poznań 4:0 Legia Warszawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa?
Lech Poznań score 1.76 goals per game on average and Legia Warszawa 1.17. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Lech Poznań's matches and 62% of Legia Warszawa's.
What form are Lech Poznań and Legia Warszawa in?
Over the last 5 games Lech Poznań have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Legia Warszawa 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa?
The statistical background for Lech Poznań vs Legia Warszawa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.