Lech Poznań vs Nieciecza: match statistics
Lech Poznań clearly outperforms Nieciecza in terms of quality when playing at home. The hosts boast a positive goal difference (+3) in home matches and win 42% of their fixtures at their own stadium, while Nieciecza loses as many as half of their away games with a negative goal difference of -6. The xG statistics highlight Lech's advantage (2.03 xG For vs 1.46 xG Against at home), whereas the visitors have a negative expected goals ratio on the road (1.6 xG For vs 1.87 xG Against). Lech also dominates in ball possession (60% vs 44%) and registers significantly more shots on target (6.58 vs 4.5). Recent form from the last five matches favors the hosts (1.2 PPG vs 0.4 PPG), who have won their last two outings. All these factors point towards a confident victory for Lech Poznań in front of their home crowd.
Lech Poznań vs Nieciecza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lech Poznań play Nieciecza in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match date is 22 March 2026 at 14:45. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Lech Poznań: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Nieciecza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lech Poznań scores 1.82 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Nieciecza scores 1.26 and concedes 1.91. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lech Poznań 68%, Nieciecza 71%. Over 2.5: Lech Poznań 68%, Nieciecza 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 1.94 vs 1.50. Lech Poznań: 17.4 shots per match, Nieciecza: 12.6.
Match halves
Lech Poznań: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.82. Nieciecza: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Lech Poznań: 31-45+ (16 goals). Nieciecza: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Lech Poznań clearly outperforms Nieciecza in terms of quality when playing at home. The hosts boast a positive goal difference (+3) in home matches and win 42% of their fixtures at their own stadium, while Nieciecza loses as many as half of their away games with a negative goal difference of -6. The xG statistics highlight Lech's advantage (2.03 xG For vs 1.46 xG Against at home), whereas the visitors have a negative expected goals ratio on the road (1.6 xG For vs 1.87 xG Against). Lech also dominates in ball possession (60% vs 44%) and registers significantly more shots on target (6.58 vs 4.5). Recent form from the last five matches favors the hosts (1.2 PPG vs 0.4 PPG), who have won their last two outings. All these factors point towards a confident victory for Lech Poznań in front of their home crowd.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lech Poznań | Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lech Poznań is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Lech Poznań · 1.8 pts / match - Nieciecza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 1.26 goals / match - Nieciecza
Lech Poznań is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Lech Poznań · 1.91 goals / match - Nieciecza
Lech Poznań scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Nieciecza keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 34 matches).
Nieciecza scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lech Poznań
Over / Under — Nieciecza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / match - Lech Poznań · 1.09 pts / match - Nieciecza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nieciecza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lech Poznań
Nieciecza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Lech Poznań | Liga | Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 25% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lech Poznań 1 - 0 - 0 Nieciecza. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lech Poznań vs Nieciecza?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Lech Poznań 4:1 Nieciecza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lech Poznań vs Nieciecza?
Lech Poznań score 1.82 goals per game on average and Nieciecza 1.26. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Lech Poznań's matches and 71% of Nieciecza's.
What form are Lech Poznań and Nieciecza in?
Over the last 5 games Lech Poznań have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Nieciecza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lech Poznań vs Nieciecza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.