Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa: match statistics
Lech Poznań are in excellent form in their last five matches, having secured a perfect winning streak while scoring 9 goals and conceding only one. The hosts stand out with high average possession (60%) and proficiency in home matches, although their home record this season shows some instability (36% wins, 36% draws). Raków Częstochowa have a solid away record (55% wins), but their recent form is average (1.6 points per match), and the team has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 games. A key factor is Lech's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.98 vs Raków's 1.76 xGA) along with their outstanding home run, which, with the support of their fans, gives them a real chance of triumph. I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for the hosts, who will use their current momentum to secure three points.
Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lech Poznań played against Raków Częstochowa in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 4:3.
Recent form
Lech Poznań has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Raków Częstochowa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Lech Poznań scores 1.64 goals per game and allows 1.41. Raków Częstochowa scores 1.27 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Lech Poznań's games and 50% of Raków Częstochowa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 45%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lech Poznań has the higher season xG average, 1.88 to 1.70 per game. Lech Poznań takes 16.6 shots per game, while Raków Częstochowa takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Lech Poznań leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Raków Częstochowa leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lech Poznań's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Raków Częstochowa, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lech Poznań are in excellent form in their last five matches, having secured a perfect winning streak while scoring 9 goals and conceding only one. The hosts stand out with high average possession (60%) and proficiency in home matches, although their home record this season shows some instability (36% wins, 36% draws). Raków Częstochowa have a solid away record (55% wins), but their recent form is average (1.6 points per match), and the team has scored only 3 goals in their last 5 games. A key factor is Lech's advantage in expected goals (xG 1.98 vs Raków's 1.76 xGA) along with their outstanding home run, which, with the support of their fans, gives them a real chance of triumph. I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for the hosts, who will use their current momentum to secure three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lech Poznań | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lech Poznań is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Lech Poznań · 1 pts / game - Raków Częstochowa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lech Poznań is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1.64 goals / game - Lech Poznań · 1.27 goals / game - Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.41 goals / game - Lech Poznań · 1.14 goals / game - Raków Częstochowa
Lech Poznań scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 meczów).
Raków Częstochowa scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 meczów), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
Over / Under - Raków Częstochowa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lech Poznań is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / game - Lech Poznań · 1.23 pts / game - Raków Częstochowa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Raków Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lech Poznań
Raków Częstochowa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Lech Poznań | Liga | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.05 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Lech Poznań's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Raków Częstochowa. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Lech Poznań 4:3 Raków Częstochowa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa?
Lech Poznań score 1.64 goals per game on average and Raków Częstochowa 1.27. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Lech Poznań's matches and 50% of Raków Częstochowa's.
What form are Lech Poznań and Raków Częstochowa in?
Over the last 5 games Lech Poznań have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Raków Częstochowa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lech Poznań vs Raków Częstochowa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.