Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest: match statistics
Leeds United presents solid home form with a 42% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+2) in home matches. The hosts record an average of 1.58 goals per match in home games, with an xG of 1.51, which evidences efficiency in attack. Nottingham Forest has poor results on away trips - only 33% wins and a negative goal difference (-6), with a very low scoring average (0.92 goals per away match) and as many as 42% of matches without a scored goal. Although the form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (Leeds 1.4 PPG, Forest 1.6 PPG), Leeds' advantage in playing at their own stadium and Forest's offensive problems away speak for the hosts. However, it should be noted that Leeds occupies 17th place in the table and has conceded a significant number of goals this season (42), which increases the probability of a draw or a surprise.
Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leeds United played against Nottingham Forest in Premier League (England). The game was played on February 6, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Leeds United has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Nottingham Forest has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Leeds United scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.75. Nottingham Forest scores 1.00 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Leeds United's games and 38% of Nottingham Forest's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nottingham Forest has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.38 per game. Leeds United takes 12.5 shots per game, while Nottingham Forest takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Leeds United leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Nottingham Forest leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leeds United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Nottingham Forest, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leeds United presents solid home form with a 42% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+2) in home matches. The hosts record an average of 1.58 goals per match in home games, with an xG of 1.51, which evidences efficiency in attack. Nottingham Forest has poor results on away trips - only 33% wins and a negative goal difference (-6), with a very low scoring average (0.92 goals per away match) and as many as 42% of matches without a scored goal. Although the form of both teams in the last five matches is similar (Leeds 1.4 PPG, Forest 1.6 PPG), Leeds' advantage in playing at their own stadium and Forest's offensive problems away speak for the hosts. However, it should be noted that Leeds occupies 17th place in the table and has conceded a significant number of goals this season (42), which increases the probability of a draw or a surprise.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leeds United | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nottingham Forest is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Leeds United · 1.6 pts / game - Nottingham Forest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leeds United is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Leeds United · 1 goals / game - Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - Leeds United · 1.46 goals / game - Nottingham Forest
Leeds United scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
Nottingham Forest scores in 54% of games (13 of 24 meczów), while Leeds United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leeds United
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leeds United is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Leeds United · 0.88 pts / game - Nottingham Forest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leeds United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 25%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leeds United
Nottingham Forest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Leeds United | Liga | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.04 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Leeds United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Nottingham Forest. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest?
The Premier League match finished Leeds United 3:1 Nottingham Forest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest?
Leeds United score 1.29 goals per game on average and Nottingham Forest 1.00. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Leeds United's matches and 38% of Nottingham Forest's.
What form are Leeds United and Nottingham Forest in?
Over the last 5 games Leeds United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nottingham Forest 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest?
The statistical background for Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.