Leevon / PPK vs Skanste: match statistics
Leevon / PPK vs Skanste: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leevon / PPK played against Skanste in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game was played on July 25, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Leevon / PPK has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Skanste has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Leevon / PPK scores 1.62 goals per game and allows 1.31. Skanste scores 1.54 and allows 2.08. Games in this league average 3.44 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 69% of Leevon / PPK's games and 46% of Skanste's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 69%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Leevon / PPK has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.44 per game. Leevon / PPK takes 12.1 shots per game, while Skanste takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Leevon / PPK leads at halftime in 8% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. Skanste leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.92 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leevon / PPK's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Skanste, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.44 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1) because Leevon / PPK sit 4th with 7 wins this season versus Skanste’s 4, and the season goal differential is 21 scored / 17 conceded vs guests’ 20–27. Home metrics favor the hosts — they average 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home, have a 67% home win rate and a positive home goal differential (+4), while Skanste away average 2.00 scored and 2.67 conceded with a negative differential (-4). Hosts show higher efficiency: average xG for Leevon/PPK is 1.47 vs xG against 1.53, and the home side’s shot conversion rate is 19% vs 13% for Skanste; hosts also register 51% possession vs 41% for the visitors, indicating game control. Both teams have been conceding heavily recently (hosts conceded 12 in the last 5, visitors 13), but Skanste additionally have 33% of away matches without scoring and 0% clean sheets on the road, increasing the risk for the visitors. Considering the superior season record, home advantage and higher efficiency, I assign 60% to the home win, 20% to a draw and 20% to the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - Yes at 83% probability because away team Skanste have recorded 0 clean sheets this season (0%) and concede an average of 2.67 goals per game, which strongly increases the likelihood of the home side scoring. Leevon / PPK have a season BTTS rate of only 29%, but in their last 5 matches BTTS occurred in 100% and they average 1.8 goals in that period (season 1.14), so recent form clearly favors both teams scoring. The visitors average 2.0 goals per game this season, have xG_for 1.33 versus xG_against 1.94 (season) and in the last 5 matches produced xG 1.64 while conceding on average 2.6 goals, showing they can score but are also vulnerable to conceding. Additionally, the league averages 3.43 goals per match, the league BTTS rate is 60%, and over2.5 is 83% for away teams and 57% for home teams, all of which boost the probability of both teams scoring. Considering these figures - 0% away clean sheets, 2.67 goals conceded per game by Skanste, 100% BTTS for the hosts in the last 5 and league BTTS 60% - the 'both teams to score' scenario is the strongest (83% vs 17%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 100% of matches this season with at least 2 goals (seasonOver15 100% for both home and away), and the league average is 3.43 goals per match, signaling a strong lean toward Over. xG head-to-head analysis yields approximately 1.73 xG for the home side (1.52 xG scored by home vs 1.94 xG conceded by away) and about 1.46 xG for the away side (1.33 vs 1.58), totaling 3.19 expected goals. In the last 5 matches the home team averages 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded (4.2 g/m total), while the away team averages 1.0 scored and 2.6 conceded (3.6 g/m total), which reinforces the signal for a high-scoring game. Season Over2.5 rates are 57% for home and 83% for away, and in the last 5 it was 100% and 80% respectively, so Over 2.5 is likely, but the clearest and strongest signal is Over 1.5 due to the consistent 100% history and total xG of 3.19.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The hosts have never led at the break (0 times) and were behind at half-time in 57% of matches, indicating a weaker start. However, they improve significantly after the interval: they score an average of 1.00 goal in the second half and average 1.57 points gained after the break, winning the second half in 43% of cases. The visitors concede an average of 2.00 goals in second halves and have only 0.60 points after the break, and in their last 5 matches they have won just 20% of games, suggesting difficulties in holding results. Additionally, the hosts were level at half-time in 43% of matches, which presents a realistic possibility of a draw at the break, but the second-half statistics (strong home performance and high visitor losses after the break) favor a turnaround — hence the HT/FT pick: 2/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leevon / PPK | Skanste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Leevon / PPK is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Leevon / PPK · 0.6 pts / game - Skanste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leevon / PPK is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.62 goals / game - Leevon / PPK · 1.54 goals / game - Skanste
Leevon / PPK is 59% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.31 goals / game - Leevon / PPK · 2.08 goals / game - Skanste
Leevon / PPK scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while Skanste keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 meczów).
Skanste scores in 62% of games (8 of 13 meczów), while Leevon / PPK keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leevon / PPK
Over / Under - Skanste
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leevon / PPK is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / game - Leevon / PPK · 0.54 pts / game - Skanste
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leevon / PPK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Skanste - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leevon / PPK
Skanste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Leevon / PPK | Liga | Skanste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.92 | 3.44 | ▲ 3.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 62% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 22% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Leevon / PPK's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Skanste. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Leevon / PPK vs Skanste?
The 1. Liga match finished Leevon / PPK 2:1 Skanste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Leevon / PPK and Skanste?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Leevon / PPK won 2, Skanste won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Leevon / PPK vs Skanste?
Leevon / PPK score 1.62 goals per game on average and Skanste 1.54. The 1. Liga average is 3.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Leevon / PPK's matches and 46% of Skanste's.
What form are Leevon / PPK and Skanste in?
Over the last 5 games Leevon / PPK have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Skanste 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leevon / PPK vs Skanste?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leevon / PPK vs Skanste: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


