Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II: match statistics
Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leevon / PPK played against Tukums II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game was played on May 2, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Leevon / PPK has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Tukums II has 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Leevon / PPK scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 0.60. Tukums II scores 1.50 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.68 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Leevon / PPK's games and 75% of Tukums II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 75%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 74% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Leevon / PPK has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.51 per game. Leevon / PPK takes 12.6 shots per game, while Tukums II takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Leevon / PPK leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Tukums II leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leevon / PPK's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Tukums II, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.68 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 74% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leevon / PPK are the favorites in this matchup: they sit 3rd in the table versus Tukums II’s 9th and have a season record of 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, while the visitors have 1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses. In their last 5 matches the hosts show form 'wwddw' — scoring 7 goals and conceding 3 (0.6 conceded per game), whereas Tukums II scored 8 but conceded 14 in their last five (2.8 per game). The visitors are more active offensively on the road: on average 7 shots and 5 on target per away match with a conversion rate around 29% and an average of 2 goals per away game, and their average away xG is 1.21 versus the hosts’ home xG of 0.68. Despite creating higher-quality chances, Tukums II’s defense is vulnerable (8 goals conceded this season and 14 in the last 5) and they have only 0.8 points per game in the last 5, while Leevon / PPK have conceded 3 goals this season and average 2.2 points per game in their last 5. Based on this, I project a home win; probabilities estimated at ~65% for Leevon / PPK, 20% for a draw and 15% for Tukums II.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The "both teams to score" scenario is more likely: season BTTS rates are 67% for Leevon/PPK and 100% for Tukums II, versus a league average of 62%. In the last 5 matches Leevon had BTTS in 40% of games and Tukums in 80%; Tukums scored 8 and conceded 14 goals in those 5 matches (averaging 1.6 and 2.8 per game), indicating they can both score and are vulnerable at the back. xG and shot metrics support this conclusion: Leevon has xG 1.60 and averages 7.0 shots on target per game, while Tukums has xG 1.21 with 5.0 shots on target, but Tukums’ conversion rate is 29% versus Leevon’s 12%, so with fewer chances they are highly efficient. Additionally, Leevon concedes on average 2.0 goals per season (xG against 2.20), and Tukums has 0% clean sheets seasonally, which combined with the league average of 3.68 goals per match favors BTTS. Considering these figures, I assign a 75% chance to BTTS - Yes and 25% to No — key factors are Tukums’ 100% season BTTS, high 29% conversion, and Leevon’s 67% with a 62% league BTTS benchmark.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a seasonal Over 1.5 rate of 100%, and an xG-based model gives expected 1.41 goals for Leevon/PPK and 1.71 for Tukums II (total 3.12), which strongly supports a result above 1.5 goals. Tukums II scores on average 2.0 goals per game, has a seasonal percentage of matches over 2.5 goals of 100% and conceded 14 goals in the last 5 fixtures (avg 2.8), indicating an open and vulnerable defense. Leevon/PPK generates more chances (avg 11.33 shots and 7.0 on target) with xG 1.6 but has lower finishing efficiency (12% conversion vs 29% for Tukums II), so the hosts create chances while the visitors are efficient at converting them. Seasonal Over 2.5 percentages are 67% for the home side and 100% for the away side, and the league averages 3.68 goals per match (74% of matches over 2.5), therefore Over 2.5 is rated as likely (~80%), however Over 1.5 remains the strongest signal (~98%). I therefore recommend a bet on Over 1.5 as the best line — high combined xG 3.12, 67%/100% rates of matches with both teams scoring and recent form (home 7 scored and 3 conceded, away 8 and 14) confirm the edge for this selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tukums II led at half-time in 100% of away matches and averages 2.0 goals scored by HT and 1.0 conceded by HT (leadingAtHTPercentage_away 100.0; scoredAVGHT_away 2.0; concededAVGHT_away 1.0), so the HT is most likely to favor the visitors. Despite this advantage, Tukums II have not won any away game (winPercentage_away 0.0), and the away draw rate is 100% (drawPercentage_away 100.0), which strongly suggests a full-time draw rather than an away win. The home side are trailing at the break in 67% of matches (trailingAtHTPercentage_home 67.0), yet they average 0.67 goals after half-time and frequently score late (scored_2hg_avg_home 0.67; goals_scored_min_76_to_90_home 2.0), increasing the likelihood of an equalizer in the second half. Additionally, Tukums II have a higher shot conversion rate of 29.0% versus 12.0% for the home team (shot_conversion_rate_away 29.0 vs shot_conversion_rate_home 12.0), which sustains their first-half attack, but the lack of away wins reduces the probability of holding the lead until full-time. For these reasons the most probable scenario is visitors leading at half-time and a draw after 90 minutes (2/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leevon / PPK | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 63% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Leevon / PPK is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Leevon / PPK · 1 pts / game - Tukums II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums II is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.4 goals / game - Leevon / PPK · 1.5 goals / game - Tukums II
Leevon / PPK is 233% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.6 goals / game - Leevon / PPK · 2 goals / game - Tukums II
Leevon / PPK scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while Tukums II keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
Tukums II scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Leevon / PPK keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leevon / PPK
Over / Under - Tukums II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tukums II is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Leevon / PPK · 1.5 pts / game - Tukums II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leevon / PPK - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tukums II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 25% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leevon / PPK
Tukums II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Leevon / PPK | Liga | Tukums II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 3.68 | ▼ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 74% | • 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leevon / PPKGoalSho Saito
- Leevon / PPKGoalGabriels Kirkils
- Leevon / PPKGoalRoberts Krūms
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Leevon / PPK's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Tukums II. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II?
The 1. Liga match finished Leevon / PPK 4:1 Tukums II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Leevon / PPK and Tukums II?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Leevon / PPK won 1, Tukums II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II?
Leevon / PPK score 1.40 goals per game on average and Tukums II 1.50. The 1. Liga average is 3.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Leevon / PPK's matches and 75% of Tukums II's.
What form are Leevon / PPK and Tukums II in?
Over the last 5 games Leevon / PPK have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Tukums II 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II?
The statistical background for Leevon / PPK vs Tukums II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.