Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly matched, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Legia Warszawa in home matches shows mixed form with 44% draws and only 33% wins, conceding an average of 0.78 goals per match. Korona Kielce away also frequently draws (44% of matches), and their recent form (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches) demonstrates stability. Both teams have an identical shot conversion rate (7%) and similar xG values, indicating an even quality of play. Legia has an advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%), but their poor form in the last 5 matches (only 0.8 points per match) and a high percentage of matches without scoring a goal (44%) weaken their position. Considering all factors, I expect a fierce contest with a slight advantage for the hosts, but a draw seems the most sensible prediction.
Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Legia Warszawa played against Korona Kielce in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Legia Warszawa has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Korona Kielce has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Legia Warszawa scores 1.06 goals per game and allows 1.17. Korona Kielce scores 1.17 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.89 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Legia Warszawa's games and 44% of Korona Kielce's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 33%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Legia Warszawa has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.66 per game. Legia Warszawa takes 16.2 shots per game, while Korona Kielce takes 15.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Legia Warszawa leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Korona Kielce leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Legia Warszawa's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Korona Kielce, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ekstraklasa games average 2.89 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly matched, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Legia Warszawa in home matches shows mixed form with 44% draws and only 33% wins, conceding an average of 0.78 goals per match. Korona Kielce away also frequently draws (44% of matches), and their recent form (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 matches) demonstrates stability. Both teams have an identical shot conversion rate (7%) and similar xG values, indicating an even quality of play. Legia has an advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%), but their poor form in the last 5 matches (only 0.8 points per match) and a high percentage of matches without scoring a goal (44%) weaken their position. Considering all factors, I expect a fierce contest with a slight advantage for the hosts, but a draw seems the most sensible prediction.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Legia Warszawa | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Korona Kielce is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Legia Warszawa · 1 pts / game - Korona Kielce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Korona Kielce is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.06 goals / game - Legia Warszawa · 1.17 goals / game - Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Legia Warszawa · 1.06 goals / game - Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Korona Kielce keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).
Korona Kielce scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Legia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Legia Warszawa
Over / Under - Korona Kielce
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Korona Kielce is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Legia Warszawa · 1.22 pts / game - Korona Kielce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Legia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Korona Kielce - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Legia Warszawa
Korona Kielce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Legia Warszawa | Liga | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.22 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 82% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Legia Warszawa's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Korona Kielce. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Legia Warszawa 1:2 Korona Kielce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
Legia Warszawa score 1.06 goals per game on average and Korona Kielce 1.17. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Legia Warszawa's matches and 44% of Korona Kielce's.
What form are Legia Warszawa and Korona Kielce in?
Over the last 5 games Legia Warszawa have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Korona Kielce 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce?
The statistical background for Legia Warszawa vs Korona Kielce — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.