Leicester City vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Leicester City played against Derby County in Championship (England). The game was played on December 29, 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Leicester City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Derby County has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Leicester City scores 1.39 goals per game and allows 1.43. Derby County scores 1.39 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 74% of Leicester City's games and 74% of Derby County's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 48%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Leicester City has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.13 per game. Leicester City takes 12.1 shots per game, while Derby County takes 9.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Leicester City leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Derby County leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.78 after halftime.

When the teams score

Leicester City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Derby County, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Stats by half

2 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
Leicester CityDerby County
8Shots9
Leicester CityDerby County
2Shots on target2
Leicester CityDerby County
0.98xG0.99
Leicester CityDerby County
3Corners4
Leicester CityDerby County
44Dangerous attacks38
Leicester CityDerby County
10Fouls12
Leicester CityDerby County
1Cards2
Leicester CityDerby County

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Leicester CityDerby County
1.39Goals scored / game1.39
Leicester CityDerby County
1.43Goals allowed / game1.35
Leicester CityDerby County
53%Average possession41%
Leicester CityDerby County
3.87Shots on target / game3.22
Leicester CityDerby County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.09Shots per game9.48
Leicester CityDerby County
3.87Shots on target3.22
Leicester CityDerby County
11.5%Shot conversion14.7%
Leicester CityDerby County
53%Possession41%
Leicester CityDerby County
1.36xG for1.13
Leicester CityDerby County
1.45xG against1.47
Leicester CityDerby County

Shooting quality

Leicester City: BalancedDerby County: Counter-attacking
Leicester CityDerby County
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Leicester City is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Leicester City · 1.2 pts / game - Derby County

Leicester City
WDWLL
Season result split
35% W30% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-8
1.35 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Derby County
LDWDD
Season result split
35% W35% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-7
1.39 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Derby County is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.43 goals / game - Leicester City · 1.35 goals / game - Derby County

Leicester City scoring profile: very strong

Leicester City scores in 83% of games (19 of 23 meczów), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).

Derby County scoring profile: very strong

Derby County scores in 91% of games (21 of 23 meczów), while Leicester City keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).

32Goals scored (season)32
Leicester CityDerby County
33Goals conceded (season)31
Leicester CityDerby County
2.83Average goals per game2.74
Leicester CityDerby County
10Goals scored (last 5)7
Leicester CityDerby County
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
Leicester CityDerby County

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal91%
Leicester CityDerby County
43%2 goals35%
Leicester CityDerby County
13%3 goals13%
Leicester CityDerby County
0%4 goals0%
Leicester CityDerby County

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal83%
Leicester CityDerby County
39%2 goals26%
Leicester CityDerby County
13%3 goals17%
Leicester CityDerby County
4%4 goals4%
Leicester CityDerby County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time13%
Leicester CityDerby County
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Leicester CityDerby County
17%Scored in both halves26%
Leicester CityDerby County

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Leicester CityDerby County
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Leicester CityDerby County
100%BTTS - last 580%
Leicester CityDerby County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

87%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
Leicester CityDerby County
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
Leicester CityDerby County
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Leicester CityDerby County

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Leicester CityDerby County
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Leicester CityDerby County
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Leicester CityDerby County

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derby County is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.35 pts / game - Leicester City · 1.52 pts / game - Derby County

Leicester City - half-time state
39% leading17% draw43% trailing
Derby County - half-time state
39% leading35% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per game (1st half)1.52
Leicester CityDerby County
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.61
Leicester CityDerby County
0.87Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Leicester CityDerby County
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.13
Leicester CityDerby County
52%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Leicester CityDerby County
52%No goal before half-time48%
Leicester CityDerby County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per game (2nd half)1.43
Leicester CityDerby County
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.78
Leicester CityDerby County
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Leicester CityDerby County
1.26Average goals (2nd half)1.61
Leicester CityDerby County
48%Clean sheet after half-time48%
Leicester CityDerby County
48%No goal after half-time35%
Leicester CityDerby County

Leicester City - second-half results

43% W22% D35% L
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 35%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Derby County - second-half results

35% W39% D26% L
35
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 35%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Leicester City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.80
Goals scored / game1.60.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game2.61.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Derby County - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.60
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Leicester City
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
8
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
6
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
4
3
16-30
7
4
31-45
8
2
46-60
5
8
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
74%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
76%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Leicester City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Leicester CityLigaDerby County
Average goals per game 2.832.63 2.74
Both teams scored 74%59% 74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%51% 48%
Clean sheets 13%23% 17%
Goal before half-time 87%74% 78%
Goal after half-time 87%78% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Derby CountyGoalRhian BrewsterAssist: Callum Elder
  2. Leicester CityGoalJordan JamesAssist: Luke Thomas
  3. Leicester CitySubstitutionOn: Ricardo Domingos Barbosa PereiraOff: Hamza Choudhury
  4. Derby CountySubstitutionOn: Andreas WeimannOff: Bobby Clark
  5. Leicester CityYellow cardJordan James
  6. Derby CountyYellow cardLiam Thompson
  7. Derby CountyYellow cardKayden Jackson

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Gavin WardMatches officiated: 23
3.09Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 252%Home wins17%Draws30%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Leicester City's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Derby County. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Leicester City vs Derby County?

The Championship match finished Leicester City 2:1 Derby County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Leicester City vs Derby County?

Leicester City score 1.39 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.39. The Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Leicester City's matches and 74% of Derby County's.

What form are Leicester City and Derby County in?

Over the last 5 games Leicester City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Derby County 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leicester City vs Derby County?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.