Leicester City vs Millwall: match statistics
Leicester City vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leicester City play Millwall in Championship (England). The match date is 24 April 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Leicester City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Millwall: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leicester City scores 1.26 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Millwall scores 1.33 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leicester City 72%, Millwall 48%. Over 2.5: Leicester City 54%, Millwall 46%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Millwall has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.43. Leicester City: 12.9 shots per match, Millwall: 12.9.
Match halves
Leicester City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.61. Millwall: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Leicester City: 76-90+ (17 goals). Millwall: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an away win (2) — Millwall sit 3rd in the table versus Leicester in 22nd and show markedly better form: over the last 5 matches they average 2.0 points and have won 3 of 5, while Leicester have 0 wins and 0.6 PPG. The visitors’ defense looks more solid: Millwall concede 1.05 goals on the road versus 1.5 conceded by Leicester at home, and the away clean sheet rate is 32% vs 14% for the hosts. In terms of chance quality the hosts have higher home xG 1.52 versus Millwall’s 1.31 xG away, plus more shots per game (13.95 vs 11.77) and greater possession (54% vs 45%), but they are less efficient in finishing (conversion 10% vs 12%) and more often finish matches without a goal (23% vs 18%). Additionally Millwall have a 50% away win rate and a positive away goal difference +7, which together with better finishing and form makes them the favourites. I estimate probabilities: away 60%, draw 22%, home 18%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leicester City | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Leicester City · 1.6 pts / match - Millwall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Leicester City · 1.33 goals / match - Millwall
Millwall is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Leicester City · 1.06 goals / match - Millwall
Leicester City scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 40% (19 of 48 matches).
Millwall scores in 79% of matches (38 of 48 matches), while Leicester City keeps a clean sheet in 13% (6 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Leicester City
Over / Under — Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Leicester City · 1.46 pts / match - Millwall
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leicester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leicester City
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Leicester City | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 57% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 50% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leicester City 0 - 0 - 1 Millwall. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leicester City vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Leicester City 1:1 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leicester City vs Millwall?
Leicester City score 1.26 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.33. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Leicester City's matches and 48% of Millwall's.
What form are Leicester City and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Leicester City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Millwall 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leicester City vs Millwall?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leicester City vs Millwall: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.