Leicester City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Leicester City played against Watford in Championship (England). The game was played on December 26, 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Leicester City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Watford has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Leicester City scores 1.41 goals per game and allows 1.41. Watford scores 1.41 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 73% of Leicester City's games and 73% of Watford's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 55%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Watford has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.37 per game. Leicester City takes 12.2 shots per game, while Watford takes 14.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Leicester City leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Watford leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.77 after halftime.

When the teams score

Leicester City's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Watford, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
Leicester CityWatford
9Shots13
Leicester CityWatford
2Shots on target3
Leicester CityWatford
1.1xG1.3
Leicester CityWatford
5Corners6
Leicester CityWatford
53Dangerous attacks37
Leicester CityWatford
14Fouls8
Leicester CityWatford
3Cards2
Leicester CityWatford

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Leicester CityWatford
1.41Goals scored / game1.41
Leicester CityWatford
1.41Goals allowed / game1.27
Leicester CityWatford
53%Average possession52%
Leicester CityWatford
3.95Shots on target / game4.91
Leicester CityWatford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.23Shots per game14.14
Leicester CityWatford
3.95Shots on target4.91
Leicester CityWatford
11.5%Shot conversion10%
Leicester CityWatford
53%Possession52%
Leicester CityWatford
1.37xG for1.54
Leicester CityWatford
1.46xG against1.37
Leicester CityWatford

Shooting quality

Leicester City: BalancedWatford: Attacking
Leicester CityWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)32%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Watford is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Leicester City · 1.6 pts / game - Watford

Leicester City
LWDWL
Season result split
36% W32% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-7-7
1.41 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LDWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Watford
LWDDW
Season result split
36% W36% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-6
1.45 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Watford is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.41 goals / game - Leicester City · 1.27 goals / game - Watford

Leicester City scoring profile: very strong

Leicester City scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 meczów).

Watford scoring profile: very strong

Watford scores in 82% of games (18 of 22 meczów), while Leicester City keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 meczów).

31Goals scored (season)31
Leicester CityWatford
31Goals conceded (season)28
Leicester CityWatford
2.82Average goals per game2.68
Leicester CityWatford
11Goals scored (last 5)8
Leicester CityWatford
11Goals conceded (last 5)7
Leicester CityWatford

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal82%
Leicester CityWatford
45%2 goals45%
Leicester CityWatford
14%3 goals14%
Leicester CityWatford
0%4 goals0%
Leicester CityWatford

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal91%
Leicester CityWatford
36%2 goals32%
Leicester CityWatford
14%3 goals5%
Leicester CityWatford
5%4 goals0%
Leicester CityWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time36%
Leicester CityWatford
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Leicester CityWatford
18%Scored in both halves14%
Leicester CityWatford

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Leicester CityWatford
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Leicester CityWatford
100%BTTS - last 580%
Leicester CityWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Leicester CityWatford
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Leicester CityWatford
23%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
Leicester CityWatford

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Leicester CityWatford
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time23%
Leicester CityWatford
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Leicester CityWatford

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leicester City is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.36 pts / game - Leicester City · 1.05 pts / game - Watford

Leicester City - half-time state
41% leading14% draw45% trailing
Watford - half-time state
23% leading36% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per game (1st half)1.05
Leicester CityWatford
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Leicester CityWatford
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.91
Leicester CityWatford
1.55Average goals (1st half)1.55
Leicester CityWatford
55%Clean sheet before half-time27%
Leicester CityWatford
55%No goal before half-time55%
Leicester CityWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

1.59Points per game (2nd half)1.77
Leicester CityWatford
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
Leicester CityWatford
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
Leicester CityWatford
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.14
Leicester CityWatford
50%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Leicester CityWatford
45%No goal after half-time50%
Leicester CityWatford

Leicester City - second-half results

45% W23% D32% L
30
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 36%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Watford - second-half results

50% W27% D23% L
23
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding157%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.6

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Leicester City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.40
Goals scored / game1.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.40.8
Average goals per game2.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7
Watford - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.40
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game1.20.2
Average goals per game1.81.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Leicester City
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
6
7
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
5
61-75
8
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Watford
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
4
6
16-30
8
7
31-45
5
3
46-60
6
0
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Leicester City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Leicester CityLigaWatford
Average goals per game 2.822.63 2.68
Both teams scored 73%59% 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%51% 55%
Clean sheets 14%23% 9%
Goal before half-time 86%74% 82%
Goal after half-time 86%78% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Leicester CityGoalJordan JamesAssist: Jordan Pierre Ayew
  2. Leicester CityYellow cardIssahaku Abdul Fatawu
  3. Leicester CityYellow cardOliver William Skipp
  4. WatfordGoalOthmane MaammaAssist: Imran Louza
  5. WatfordYellow cardImran Louza
  6. WatfordYellow cardHector Kyprianou
  7. Leicester CityYellow cardStephy Alvaro Mavididi
  8. WatfordGoalMatthew PollockAssist: Imran Louza
  9. WatfordSubstitutionOn: Nestory IrankundaOff: Thomas Ince
  10. Leicester CitySubstitutionOn: Jeremy MongaOff: Stephy Alvaro Mavididi
  11. Leicester CitySubstitutionOn: Aaron RamseyOff: Bobby Armani De Cordova-Reid
  12. WatfordSubstitutionOn: James MorrisOff: Giorgi Chakvetadze

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Joshua SmithMatches officiated: 23
3.96Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 243%Home wins22%Draws35%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Leicester City vs Watford?

The Championship match finished Leicester City 1:2 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Leicester City vs Watford?

Leicester City score 1.41 goals per game on average and Watford 1.41. The Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Leicester City's matches and 73% of Watford's.

What form are Leicester City and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Leicester City have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Watford 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leicester City vs Watford?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.