Leixões vs Lusitania Lourosa: match statistics
Leixões vs Lusitania Lourosa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leixões play Lusitania Lourosa in LigaPro (Portugal). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estádio do Mar. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Leixões: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Lusitania Lourosa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leixões scores 1.35 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Lusitania Lourosa scores 1.29 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leixões 56%, Lusitania Lourosa 62%. Over 2.5: Leixões 59%, Lusitania Lourosa 59%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Leixões has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.22. Leixões: 11.9 shots per match, Lusitania Lourosa: 10.3.
Match halves
Leixões: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.71. Lusitania Lourosa: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Leixões: 16-30 (15 goals). Lusitania Lourosa: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Leixões shows superior form — 4 wins in the last 5 matches and an average of 2.4 points per game over that span, while Lusitania Lourosa has only 1 win and 1.0 point per game. In attack the hosts scored 11 goals in their last five matches (2.2 per game) and at home they generate 1.51 xG per match versus 1.16 xG for Lusitania on the road; Leixões also registers more shots per game (12.63 vs 9.44) and more shots on target (4.63 vs 3.5). The hosts’ defense is relatively exposed — Leixões concedes an average of 1.94 goals per home game, while Lusitania concedes 1.69 on the road, although in the last 5 matches the hosts have conceded 4 goals in total compared to 6 conceded by the visitors. Additionally the hosts have higher possession (51% vs 46%) and a better home clean sheet rate (31% vs 25%), suggesting an advantage in game control and chance creation. Considering the form edge, higher xG (1.51 vs 1.16) and greater volume of shots and shots on target, I estimate Leixões’ win probability at around 62%, draw 20% and Lusitania win 18%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leixões | Lusitania Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leixões is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Leixões · 0.8 pts / match - Lusitania Lourosa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leixões is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Leixões · 1.29 goals / match - Lusitania Lourosa
Lusitania Lourosa is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - Leixões · 1.53 goals / match - Lusitania Lourosa
Leixões scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Lusitania Lourosa keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Lusitania Lourosa scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Leixões keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Leixões
Over / Under — Lusitania Lourosa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leixões is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Leixões · 1.09 pts / match - Lusitania Lourosa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leixões - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lusitania Lourosa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leixões
Lusitania Lourosa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Leixões | Liga | Lusitania Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 45% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 32% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leixões 0 - 1 - 0 Lusitania Lourosa. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leixões vs Lusitania Lourosa?
The LigaPro match finished Leixões 2:1 Lusitania Lourosa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leixões vs Lusitania Lourosa?
Leixões score 1.35 goals per game on average and Lusitania Lourosa 1.29. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Leixões's matches and 62% of Lusitania Lourosa's.
What form are Leixões and Lusitania Lourosa in?
Over the last 5 games Leixões have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Lusitania Lourosa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leixões vs Lusitania Lourosa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.