Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Leixões displays poor home form with only 31% wins and as many as 62% losses at home, conceding an average of 2.23 goals per match. Paços de Ferreira has even worse away statistics – they win only 25% of matches away and in 58% of games they fail to score a goal. The form from the last five matches slightly favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), however, their poor attacking efficiency away (0.75 goals/match) and the defensive problems of the hosts suggest a low-paced match. Considering Paços' high draw rate (25% away) and the overall weakness of both teams, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leixões played against Paços de Ferreira in LigaPro (Portugal). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Leixões has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Paços de Ferreira has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Leixões scores 1.12 goals per game and allows 1.81. Paços de Ferreira scores 0.96 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.44 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Leixões's games and 44% of Paços de Ferreira's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 52%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paços de Ferreira has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.39 per game. Leixões takes 11.9 shots per game, while Paços de Ferreira takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Leixões leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.58 goals per game after halftime. Paços de Ferreira leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leixões's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (12 goals). For Paços de Ferreira, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
LigaPro games average 2.44 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, which points to a draw. Leixões displays poor home form with only 31% wins and as many as 62% losses at home, conceding an average of 2.23 goals per match. Paços de Ferreira has even worse away statistics – they win only 25% of matches away and in 58% of games they fail to score a goal. The form from the last five matches slightly favors the visitors (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), however, their poor attacking efficiency away (0.75 goals/match) and the defensive problems of the hosts suggest a low-paced match. Considering Paços' high draw rate (25% away) and the overall weakness of both teams, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leixões | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paços de Ferreira is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Leixões · 1.6 pts / game - Paços de Ferreira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leixões is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.12 goals / game - Leixões · 0.96 goals / game - Paços de Ferreira
Paços de Ferreira is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.81 goals / game - Leixões · 1.36 goals / game - Paços de Ferreira
Leixões scores in 69% of games (18 of 26 meczów), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
Paços de Ferreira scores in 52% of games (13 of 25 meczów), while Leixões keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leixões
Over / Under - Paços de Ferreira
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leixões is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / game - Leixões · 0.92 pts / game - Paços de Ferreira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leixões - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Paços de Ferreira - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leixões
Paços de Ferreira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Leixões | Liga | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.92 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 44% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 31% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Paços de FerreiraSubstitutionOn: Iuri Alexandre da Silva MoreiraOff: João Victor Lopes do Nascimento Silveira
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Leixões's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Paços de Ferreira. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira?
The LigaPro match finished Leixões 3:2 Paços de Ferreira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira?
Leixões score 1.12 goals per game on average and Paços de Ferreira 0.96. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Leixões's matches and 44% of Paços de Ferreira's.
What form are Leixões and Paços de Ferreira in?
Over the last 5 games Leixões have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paços de Ferreira 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.