Lens vs Nantes: match statistics
Lens vs Nantes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lens play Nantes in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 8 May 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Lens: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Nantes: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lens scores 1.94 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Nantes scores 0.88 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lens 50%, Nantes 45%. Over 2.5: Lens 65%, Nantes 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Lens has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.20. Lens: 16.4 shots per match, Nantes: 11.3.
Match halves
Lens: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.18. Nantes: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Lens: 46-60 (16 goals). Nantes: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Lens is the clear favorite: they sit 2nd and win 87% of home matches, have a home goal difference of +23 and average 2.27 goals scored per game with an average xG of 1.96. Offensively Lens averages 18.07 shots per game, including 6.27 on target, with a conversion rate of 13%, while Nantes on the road average 10.31 shots and 3.13 on target with a 7% conversion and xG 1.09. Defensively the hosts concede 0.73 goals at home on average and keep clean sheets in 47% of home matches, whereas Nantes concedes 1.5 goals away and keeps a clean sheet in only 25% of away games. Form trends confirm this: Lens scored 11 goals in the last 5 matches and average 1.6 points per game (form L W W D D), while Nantes have 5 goals and 1.0 point per game in their last 5 (form D D L L W) and fail to score in 50% of away fixtures. Considering the superiority in shots, conversion (13% vs 7%), xG (1.96 vs 1.09) and lower average goals conceded (0.73 vs 1.5), I predict a Lens victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lens | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lens is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Lens · 0.8 pts / match - Nantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lens is 120% better for: goals scored per match.
1.94 goals / match - Lens · 0.88 goals / match - Nantes
Lens is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Lens · 1.58 goals / match - Nantes
Lens scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
Nantes scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Lens keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lens
Over / Under — Nantes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lens is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Lens · 1.12 pts / match - Nantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -14 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lens
Nantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lens | Liga | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.83 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 53% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 28% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lens 1 - 0 - 0 Nantes. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lens vs Nantes?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lens 1:0 Nantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lens vs Nantes?
Lens score 1.94 goals per game on average and Nantes 0.88. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lens's matches and 45% of Nantes's.
What form are Lens and Nantes in?
Over the last 5 games Lens have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Nantes 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lens vs Nantes?
The statistical background for Lens vs Nantes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.