León vs Necaxa: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between the two teams. León shows poor home form with just a 33% win rate at home and a -1 goal difference; however, Necaxa has even worse away stats with 58% losses and a disastrous -11 goal difference. Both teams have similar xG metrics (León 1.29 vs Necaxa 1.5) and possession figures (50% vs 48%), suggesting a comparable level of play. León has won only 1 of their last 5 matches, while Necaxa has secured 2 victories in that period, giving the visitors a slight form advantage. Considering both teams' weak defense (León concedes 1.5 goals on average at home, Necaxa 2.42 away) and the fact that Necaxa hasn't kept a single clean sheet on the road this season, I expect a goal-filled draw as the most probable outcome.
León vs Necaxa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
León played against Necaxa in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
León has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Necaxa has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
León scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 1.71. Necaxa scores 1.38 and allows 1.79. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of León's games and 63% of Necaxa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 54%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Necaxa has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.26 per game. León takes 11.9 shots per game, while Necaxa takes 15.2.
First-half and second-half trends
León leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Necaxa leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
León's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Necaxa, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very balanced matchup between the two teams. León shows poor home form with just a 33% win rate at home and a -1 goal difference; however, Necaxa has even worse away stats with 58% losses and a disastrous -11 goal difference. Both teams have similar xG metrics (León 1.29 vs Necaxa 1.5) and possession figures (50% vs 48%), suggesting a comparable level of play. León has won only 1 of their last 5 matches, while Necaxa has secured 2 victories in that period, giving the visitors a slight form advantage. Considering both teams' weak defense (León concedes 1.5 goals on average at home, Necaxa 2.42 away) and the fact that Necaxa hasn't kept a single clean sheet on the road this season, I expect a goal-filled draw as the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| León | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Necaxa is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - León · 1.2 pts / game - Necaxa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Necaxa is 57% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - León · 1.38 goals / game - Necaxa
León is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - León · 1.79 goals / game - Necaxa
León scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 meczów), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 24 meczów).
Necaxa scores in 67% of games (16 of 24 meczów), while León keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - León
Over / Under - Necaxa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
León is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - León · 0.88 pts / game - Necaxa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
León - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 21%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Necaxa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
León
Necaxa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| León | Liga | Necaxa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.58 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 54% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from León's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Necaxa. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of León vs Necaxa?
The Liga MX match finished León 2:1 Necaxa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before León vs Necaxa?
León score 0.88 goals per game on average and Necaxa 1.38. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of León's matches and 63% of Necaxa's.
What form are León and Necaxa in?
Over the last 5 games León have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Necaxa 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for León vs Necaxa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for León vs Necaxa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.