León vs Pachuca: match statistics
León vs Pachuca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
León played Pachuca in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 2 August 2026. Venue: Estadio León. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
León: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match. Pachuca: 1-0-1, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
León scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Pachuca scores 2.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: León 50%, Pachuca 50%. Over 2.5: León 50%, Pachuca 100%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
León has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.48. León: 13.5 shots per match, Pachuca: 14.0.
Match halves
León: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Pachuca: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
León: 16-30 (1 goals). Pachuca: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pachuca is the favorite for this match: in the last 5 games they have a record of 3 wins and 2 losses, scoring 7 goals and conceding 3, while León has only 1 win and 4 losses, scoring 8 and conceding as many as 12. Away, Pachuca averages 3.0 goals per game and 0.0 conceded (100% clean sheets), with a 20% conversion rate from an average of 15 shots; León at home averages 2.0 goals from 16 shots with a 13% conversion, but concedes an average of 3.0 goals per game. The form gap is confirmed by points: Pachuca has 1.8 points per game in the last 5, León only 0.6, and the away goal difference is +3 for Pachuca versus -1 for León at home. Although León has a higher home xG (1.88 vs 1.64 for Pachuca), their high number of goals conceded and a 100% home loss rate significantly diminish the home-field advantage. Therefore I forecast an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick No BTTS — Pachuca shows very strong defensive signals: season clean sheet rate 100% and 0.0 goals conceded per game on average, with only 0.6 goals conceded per game in the last 5 matches. The visitors are also dangerous in attack: 3.0 goals scored on the season, 6.0 shots on target per game and a 20% conversion rate, which increases the likelihood that Pachuca will be the team to find the net. León’s home attacking efficiency is weaker: 1.0 goals scored on the season, 2.0 shots on target and an 8% conversion, limiting their ability to reply despite a season BTTS rate of 100% and 80% in the last 5 games. Additionally, León concedes 2.4 goals on average in the last 5 matches versus 0.6 for Pachuca, and the advantage in xG (1.64 vs 1.31) and shots on target (6.0 vs 2.0) favors a scenario where only one team scores. Considering these numbers I assign a 70% probability to No BTTS and 30% to BTTS - Yes, because the strongest signal from the data is the visitors’ defensive stability.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model estimates 1.19 expected goals for León (xG attack 1.31 vs opponents’ xG defense 1.06) and 1.74 for Pachuca (xG attack 1.64 vs hosts’ xG defense 1.83), totaling 2.93 goals. League average is 2.78 goals per match; in the last 5 fixtures the home side have scored 8 and conceded 12 (20 total, 4.0 goals per game), while the visitors have scored 7 and conceded 3 (10 total, 2.0). Pachuca averages 6 shots on target vs León’s 2 and has a conversion rate of 20% vs 8%, supporting higher expected goals for the visitors (1.74). Season-long stats show both teams have 100% of matches over 1.5 goals, and the hosts have 80% of matches over 2.5 in their last 5, so the 2.5 line is strongly supported by the data. Consequently I recommend Over 2.5 as the best pick (estimated probability Over 2.5 = 72%, Under 28%), while Over 1.5 is rated 95% and Over 3.5 about 32% consistent with the 2.93 expected goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Pachuca is the clear favorite: they have a 100.0% win rate this season and average 3.0 goals per match versus León’s 1.0, while average goals conceded are 0.0 for Pachuca vs 2.0 for the home side. xG also favors the visitors — xG for 1.64 versus 1.31 for León, with xG against 1.06 vs 1.83, indicating a positive expected goals balance for Pachuca and a negative one for León. Pachuca averages 6.0 shots on target versus 2.0 for the hosts and has a conversion rate of 20% vs 8%, and in the last 5 matches they led at the break in 80% of cases vs León’s 20%. León concedes on average 2.4 goals in the last 5 matches, while Pachuca concedes 0.6, so the strongest signal is Pachuca leading at the break and winning at full-time (2/2 — 50%), with an additional 20% on the half-time draw / Pachuca full-time win (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| León | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pachuca is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - León · 2 goals / match - Pachuca
Pachuca is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - León · 1 goals / match - Pachuca
León scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Pachuca keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Pachuca scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while León keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — León
Over / Under — Pachuca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pachuca is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - León · 3 pts / match - Pachuca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
León - second-half results
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pachuca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
León
Pachuca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| León | Liga | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 91% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): León 0 - 1 - 1 Pachuca. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of León vs Pachuca?
The Liga MX match finished León 1:0 Pachuca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between León and Pachuca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches León won 0, Pachuca won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before León vs Pachuca?
León score 1.00 goals per game on average and Pachuca 2.00. The Liga MX average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of León's matches and 50% of Pachuca's.
What form are León and Pachuca in?
Over the last 5 games León have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and Pachuca 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for León vs Pachuca?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for León vs Pachuca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.