Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
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Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara plays Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Estadio Jalisco.
Recent form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Atlético Zacatepec has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 2.33 goals per game and allows 1.42. Atlético Zacatepec scores 0.83 and allows 1.92. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's games and 42% of Atlético Zacatepec's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 58%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.27 per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 13.6 shots per game, while Atlético Zacatepec takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 58% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For Atlético Zacatepec, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.2 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 181% better for: goals scored per game.
2.33 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.83 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.92 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 games), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 games).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 67% of games (8 of 12 games), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 156% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.92 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.75 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.75 | 3.26 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 61% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 75% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Atlético Zacatepec. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Atlético Zacatepec play?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara face Atlético Zacatepec on October 18, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Jalisco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Atlético Zacatepec?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 0, Atlético Zacatepec won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 2.33 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 0.83. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 42% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Atlético Zacatepec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.