Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Cancún: match statistics
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara play Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Cancún: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.20 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.62 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 57%, Cancún 59%. Over 2.5: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 43%, Cancún 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.39. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.5 shots per match, Cancún: 11.3.
Match halves
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67. Cancún: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 46-60 (9 goals). Cancún: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Cancún has a superior season record: 15 wins versus Leones' 9 and 49 goals scored compared to 35, indicating greater offensive efficiency from the visitors. In the last 5 matches Cancún are unbeaten (2 wins, 3 draws, 10 goals scored), while Leones have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with 6 goals; the points-per-game over those five matches is 1.8 for Cancún and 1.0 for the home side. Leones' advantages are higher expected xG at home (1.74 vs 1.15 xG for guests on the road), more shots per game (14.43 vs 9.71) and a higher clean sheet rate at home (43% vs 29%). However, Cancún are more efficient in finishing chances (conversion 14% vs 10%) and have a significantly better goals-against record on the season (27 conceded vs Leones' 44), which combined with their stable form gives the visitors a greater likelihood of victory. Considering the edge in total wins, scoring efficiency and recent points average, I favor a Cancún win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cancún is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.6 pts / match - Cancún
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cancún is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.62 goals / match - Cancún
Cancún is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.94 goals / match - Cancún
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
Cancún scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under — Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 2 pts / match - Cancún
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.73 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1 - 0 - 0 Cancún. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Cancún?
The Ascenso MX match finished Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1:2 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Cancún?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 1.20 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.62. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 59% of Cancún's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cancún 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Cancún?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.