Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero: match statistics
Leones Negros show solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive streak of four wins in their last five overall matches (PPG 2.4). The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per home game with an xG of 1.77, indicating offensive efficiency. Tampico Madero has an excellent overall record (12-7-1), but displays significantly weaker form on the road with 60% draws and only 30% wins, scoring just 0.9 goals on average per away match. The visitors are characterized by defensive stability (0.7 goals conceded away), suggesting the hosts may struggle to break down their defense. Considering Leones Negros' high home efficiency and Tampico's tendency to draw away, the most likely scenario is a sharing of points, although the hosts have a realistic chance of victory due to home advantage.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara played against CDS Tampico Madero in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. CDS Tampico Madero has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.31. CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.55 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's games and 60% of CDS Tampico Madero's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 45%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.48 per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 11.7 shots per game, while CDS Tampico Madero takes 13.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. CDS Tampico Madero leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.85 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For CDS Tampico Madero, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leones Negros show solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive streak of four wins in their last five overall matches (PPG 2.4). The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per home game with an xG of 1.77, indicating offensive efficiency. Tampico Madero has an excellent overall record (12-7-1), but displays significantly weaker form on the road with 60% draws and only 30% wins, scoring just 0.9 goals on average per away match. The visitors are characterized by defensive stability (0.7 goals conceded away), suggesting the hosts may struggle to break down their defense. Considering Leones Negros' high home efficiency and Tampico's tendency to draw away, the most likely scenario is a sharing of points, although the hosts have a realistic chance of victory due to home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CDS Tampico Madero is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 2.6 pts / game - CDS Tampico Madero
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CDS Tampico Madero is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.55 goals / game - CDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.31 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 0.85 goals / game - CDS Tampico Madero
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
CDS Tampico Madero scores in 80% of games (16 of 20 meczów), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under - CDS Tampico Madero
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CDS Tampico Madero is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.75 pts / game - CDS Tampico Madero
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
CDS Tampico Madero
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.63 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 54% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalJuan Jesús Brigido ChenAssist: Joél Gustavo Pérez Valle
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalAlejandro de Jesús Bravo SantiagoAssist: Juan Jesús Brigido Chen
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalJoél Gustavo Pérez ValleAssist: Juan Jesús Brigido Chen
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Jonathan Alejandro Sánchez HernándezOff: Olaf González Manzano
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Édson Ulises Rivera VargasOff: Juan Jesús Brigido Chen
Head-to-head
Record from Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against CDS Tampico Madero. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero?
The Ascenso MX match finished Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 4:1 CDS Tampico Madero. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and CDS Tampico Madero?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara won 1, CDS Tampico Madero won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 1.31 goals per game on average and CDS Tampico Madero 1.55. The Ascenso MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 60% of CDS Tampico Madero's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and CDS Tampico Madero in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and CDS Tampico Madero 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero?
The statistical background for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs CDS Tampico Madero — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.