Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw. Leones Negros show solid home form with 42% wins and only 17% losses at home, averaging 1.5 goals scored per match. However, Mineros Zacatecas have very poor away form – as many as 50% losses and only 25% wins, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per match. The recent form of both teams is unfavorable: the hosts are without a win in their last 5 matches (0.6 points per match), the visitors slightly better with 1.4 points per match. The high draw rate of the hosts (42% at home) and the defensive issues of both teams suggest that the match could end in a draw, although the hosts have a better chance of capitalizing on the home advantage.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara played against Mineros de Zacatecas in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Mineros de Zacatecas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 1.52. Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.56 and allows 1.64. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's games and 60% of Mineros de Zacatecas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 60%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mineros de Zacatecas has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.51 per game. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara takes 12.2 shots per game, while Mineros de Zacatecas takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Mineros de Zacatecas leads at halftime in 48% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). For Mineros de Zacatecas, it is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, with a slight advantage for a draw. Leones Negros show solid home form with 42% wins and only 17% losses at home, averaging 1.5 goals scored per match. However, Mineros Zacatecas have very poor away form – as many as 50% losses and only 25% wins, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per match. The recent form of both teams is unfavorable: the hosts are without a win in their last 5 matches (0.6 points per match), the visitors slightly better with 1.4 points per match. The high draw rate of the hosts (42% at home) and the defensive issues of both teams suggest that the match could end in a draw, although the hosts have a better chance of capitalizing on the home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.4 pts / game - Mineros de Zacatecas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.2 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.56 goals / game - Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.52 goals / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.64 goals / game - Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).
Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 meczów), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Over / Under - Mineros de Zacatecas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / game - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara · 1.68 pts / game - Mineros de Zacatecas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 32%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Mineros de Zacatecas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | Liga | Mineros de Zacatecas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.72 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraGoalDenilson Saaid Muñoz BustamanteAssist: Raúl Erasmo Camacho Lastra
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Juan Jesús Brigido ChenOff: Olaf González Manzano
- Leones Negros de la Universidad de GuadalajaraSubstitutionOn: Óscar Gil VázquezOff: Carlos Ernesto Cisneros Barajas
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Mineros de Zacatecas. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
The Ascenso MX match finished Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1:3 Mineros de Zacatecas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara score 1.20 goals per game on average and Mineros de Zacatecas 1.56. The Ascenso MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's matches and 60% of Mineros de Zacatecas's.
What form are Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara and Mineros de Zacatecas in?
Over the last 5 games Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara vs Mineros de Zacatecas: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.