Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueNarok County StadiumData current as of October 21, 2026

Leopards vs Mombasa United: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Leopards vs Mombasa United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Leopards plays Mombasa United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Narok County Stadium.

Recent form

Leopards has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Mombasa United has 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 0.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Leopards scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Mombasa United scores 0.50 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.24 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Leopards's games and 50% of Mombasa United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Leopards has the higher season xG average, 1.16 to 1.07 per game. Leopards takes 8.0 shots per game, while Mombasa United takes 6.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Leopards leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Mombasa United leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Leopards's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). For Mombasa United, it is minutes 76-90+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kenyan Premier League games average 2.24 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.39)
(3.90)
(8.00)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1Goals scored / game0.5
LeopardsMombasa United
0.5Goals allowed / game1.5
LeopardsMombasa United
56%Average possession56%
LeopardsMombasa United
2Shots on target / game1
LeopardsMombasa United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8Shots per game6.5
LeopardsMombasa United
2Shots on target1
LeopardsMombasa United
12.5%Shot conversion7.7%
LeopardsMombasa United
56%Possession56%
LeopardsMombasa United
1.16xG for1.07
LeopardsMombasa United
1.1xG against1.73
LeopardsMombasa United

Shooting quality

Leopards: BalancedMombasa United: Balanced
LeopardsMombasa United
Accuracy (shots on target)25%15%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Leopards
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Mombasa United
LL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Leopards is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Leopards · 0.5 goals / game - Mombasa United

Leopards is 200% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - Leopards · 1.5 goals / game - Mombasa United

Leopards scoring profile: very strong

Leopards scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Mombasa United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 games).

Mombasa United scoring profile: mixed

Mombasa United scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).

2Goals scored (season)1
LeopardsMombasa United
1Goals conceded (season)3
LeopardsMombasa United
1.5Average goals per game2
LeopardsMombasa United
2Goals scored (last 5)1
LeopardsMombasa United
1Goals conceded (last 5)3
LeopardsMombasa United

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
LeopardsMombasa United
50%2 goals0%
LeopardsMombasa United
0%3 goals0%
LeopardsMombasa United
0%4 goals0%
LeopardsMombasa United

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal100%
LeopardsMombasa United
0%2 goals50%
LeopardsMombasa United
0%3 goals0%
LeopardsMombasa United
0%4 goals0%
LeopardsMombasa United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
LeopardsMombasa United
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LeopardsMombasa United
0%Scored in both halves0%
LeopardsMombasa United

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
LeopardsMombasa United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LeopardsMombasa United
50%BTTS - last 550%
LeopardsMombasa United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
LeopardsMombasa United
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
LeopardsMombasa United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LeopardsMombasa United

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
LeopardsMombasa United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
LeopardsMombasa United
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
LeopardsMombasa United

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leopards is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Leopards · 0.5 pts / game - Mombasa United

Leopards - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Mombasa United - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)0.5
LeopardsMombasa United
0Goals scored (1st half)0
LeopardsMombasa United
0Goals conceded (1st half)1
LeopardsMombasa United
0Average goals (1st half)1
LeopardsMombasa United
100%Clean sheet before half-time50%
LeopardsMombasa United
100%No goal before half-time100%
LeopardsMombasa United

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)1.5
LeopardsMombasa United
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
LeopardsMombasa United
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
LeopardsMombasa United
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1
LeopardsMombasa United
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
LeopardsMombasa United
50%No goal after half-time50%
LeopardsMombasa United

Leopards - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mombasa United - second-half results

50% W0% D50% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Leopards - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.00
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.5
Average goals per game0.01.5
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Mombasa United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.501.50
Goals scored / game0.00.5
Goals allowed / game1.00.5
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Leopards
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Mombasa United
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
78%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Leopards

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Mombasa United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
47%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

LeopardsLigaMombasa United
Average goals per game▼ 1.502.24▼ 2.00
Both teams scored▼ 50%53%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%35%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 50%32%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 0%47%▲ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%76%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Leopards and Mombasa United play?

Leopards face Mombasa United on October 23, 2026 in Kenyan Premier League at Narok County Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Leopards vs Mombasa United?

Leopards score 1.00 goals per game on average and Mombasa United 0.50. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Leopards's matches and 50% of Mombasa United's.

What form are Leopards and Mombasa United in?

Over the last 5 games Leopards have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Mombasa United 0-0-2 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leopards vs Mombasa United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Leopards vs Mombasa United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.