Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueData current as of 17 July 2026

Leopards vs Police: match statistics

Leopards crest
Leopards
0 : 3half-time 0:0
Police crest
Police

Leopards vs Police: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Leopards play Police in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Leopards: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Police: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Leopards scores 1.31 and concedes 0.72 goals per match. Police scores 0.97 and concedes 0.62. League average: 2.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Leopards 34%, Police 31%. Over 2.5: Leopards 34%, Police 21%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

xG, shots and style

Police has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.42. Leopards: 9.4 shots per match, Police: 12.4.

Match halves

Leopards: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.38. Police: half-time lead 3%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Leopards: 0-15 (25 goals). Police: 0-15 (27 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 33%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Leopards have 16 wins this season and a superior goal output (36 goals) compared to Police (23 goals). At home they win 69% of matches, averaging 1.46 goals scored and conceding only 0.54 goals per game. Police create more chances on the road (11.36 shots and 4.36 on target per game) and have a higher away xG (1.56), but they convert far worse — 10% conversion rate and 33% of matches without a goal versus Leopards’ 19% conversion and 23% FTS. In the last 5 fixtures both teams scored 7 goals each, however Leopards have higher points per game in that period (2.4 vs 2.0) and a superior home goal differential (+12 compared to Police’s +3 away). Defensively the hosts also perform better in expected terms: Leopards concede 1.18 xG against at home versus 1.56 xG against for Police away, suggesting the visitors do create chances but are also more exposed. On this basis I favor a home win, although Police’s greater number of clear-cut chances keeps a realistic chance of a draw or an occasional away goal.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

65Possession (%)35
LeopardsPolice
9Shots12
LeopardsPolice
3Shots on target5
LeopardsPolice
1.21xG1.38
LeopardsPolice
6Corners7
LeopardsPolice
59Dangerous attacks39
LeopardsPolice
-1Fouls-1
LeopardsPolice
-1Cards-1
LeopardsPolice

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.31Goals scored / match0.97
LeopardsPolice
0.72Goals conceded / match0.62
LeopardsPolice
48%Average possession51%
LeopardsPolice
3.41Shots on target / match3.97
LeopardsPolice

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.38Shots per match12.38
LeopardsPolice
3.41Shots on target3.97
LeopardsPolice
14%Shot conversion7.8%
LeopardsPolice
48%Possession51%
LeopardsPolice
1.42xG for1.62
LeopardsPolice
1.31xG against1.36
LeopardsPolice

Shooting quality

Leopards: Efficient finishingPolice: Balanced
LeopardsPolice
Accuracy (shots on target)36%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Police is 8% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Leopards · 2.6 pts / match - Police

Leopards
WWWLW
Season result split
59% W24% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-7-5
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Police
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
45% W38% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-11-5
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-4-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Leopards is 35% better for: goals scored per match.

1.31 goals / match - Leopards · 0.97 goals / match - Police

Police is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.72 goals / match - Leopards · 0.62 goals / match - Police

Leopards scoring profile: mixed

Leopards scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).

Police scoring profile: mixed

Police scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Leopards keeps a clean sheet in 52% (15 of 29 matches).

38Goals scored (season)28
LeopardsPolice
21Goals conceded (season)18
LeopardsPolice
2.03Average goals in match1.59
LeopardsPolice
6Goals scored (last 5)8
LeopardsPolice
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
LeopardsPolice

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal62%
LeopardsPolice
41%2 goals28%
LeopardsPolice
7%3 goals7%
LeopardsPolice
7%4 goals0%
LeopardsPolice

How often they concede at least...

48%1 goal48%
LeopardsPolice
14%2 goals14%
LeopardsPolice
7%3 goals0%
LeopardsPolice
3%4 goals0%
LeopardsPolice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time0%
LeopardsPolice
3%BTTS in both halves0%
LeopardsPolice
7%Scored in both halves0%
LeopardsPolice

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
LeopardsPolice
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
LeopardsPolice
0%BTTS - last 540%
LeopardsPolice

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

17%Min. 1 goal before half-time7%
LeopardsPolice
7%Min. 2 goals before half-time7%
LeopardsPolice
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
LeopardsPolice

2nd half

28%Min. 1 goal after half-time3%
LeopardsPolice
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
LeopardsPolice
3%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
LeopardsPolice

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Leopards - half-time state
3% leading90% draw7% trailing
Police - half-time state
3% leading93% draw3% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.03
LeopardsPolice
0.1Goals scored (1st half)0.07
LeopardsPolice
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.07
LeopardsPolice
0.24Average goals (1st half)0.14
LeopardsPolice
86%Clean sheet before half-time97%
LeopardsPolice
90%No goal before half-time97%
LeopardsPolice

After half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points per match (2nd half)0.97
LeopardsPolice
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0
LeopardsPolice
0.17Goals conceded (2nd half)0.03
LeopardsPolice
0.55Average goals (2nd half)0.03
LeopardsPolice
86%Clean sheet after half-time97%
LeopardsPolice
76%No goal after half-time100%
LeopardsPolice

Leopards - second-half results

17% W79% R3% P
29
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding1967%

Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Police - second-half results

0% W97% R3% P
30
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding1500%

Leads at half-time in 3% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Leopards - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.4
1 goal0%20%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Police - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.0
1 goal0%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Leopards
ScoredConceded
25
15
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (25 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Police
ScoredConceded
27
16
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (27 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.81
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Leopards

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 66% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.74
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.88
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 96% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

LeopardsLigaPolice
Average goals in match 2.032.01 1.59
Both teams scored 34%43% 31%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%33% 21%
Clean sheets 52%36% 52%
Goal before half-time 17%21% 7%
Goal after half-time 28%22% 3%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.01
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
1.02
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
21%
1 goal
8%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
22%
1 goal
11%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Leopards 0 - 1 - 0 Police. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Leopards vs Police?

The Kenyan Premier League match finished Leopards 0:3 Police. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Leopards vs Police?

Leopards score 1.31 goals per game on average and Police 0.97. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Leopards's matches and 31% of Police's.

What form are Leopards and Police in?

Over the last 5 games Leopards have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Police 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Leopards vs Police?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.