United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 06 August 2026

Lexington vs Phoenix Rising: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Lexington vs Phoenix Rising: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lexington play Phoenix Rising in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 8 August 2026.

Current form

Lexington: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Phoenix Rising: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lexington scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Phoenix Rising scores 1.44 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lexington 64%, Phoenix Rising 56%. Over 2.5: Lexington 64%, Phoenix Rising 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Phoenix Rising has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.43. Lexington: 12.2 shots per match, Phoenix Rising: 12.4.

Match halves

Lexington: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86. Phoenix Rising: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Lexington: 0-15 (5 goals). Phoenix Rising: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.08)
(3.58)
(2.95)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

LexingtonPhoenix Rising
1.57Goals scored / match1.44
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
1.43Goals conceded / match1.5
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
51%Average possession50%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
4.36Shots on target / match4.75
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.21Shots per match12.38
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
4.36Shots on target4.75
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
12.9%Shot conversion11.6%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
51%Possession50%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
1.43xG for1.49
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
1.34xG against1.31
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

Shooting quality

Lexington: BalancedPhoenix Rising: Balanced
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
Accuracy (shots on target)36%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lexington is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Lexington · 0.8 pts / match - Phoenix Rising

Lexington
LWWWL
Season result split
36% W21% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-6
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Phoenix Rising
LDLLW
Season result split
31% W31% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-6
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lexington is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.57 goals / match - Lexington · 1.44 goals / match - Phoenix Rising

Lexington is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.43 goals / match - Lexington · 1.5 goals / match - Phoenix Rising

Lexington scoring profile: very strong

Lexington scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Phoenix Rising keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

Phoenix Rising scoring profile: very strong

Phoenix Rising scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

22Goals scored (season)23
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
20Goals conceded (season)24
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
3Average goals in match2.94
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
12Goals scored (last 5)8
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
9Goals conceded (last 5)12
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal81%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
36%2 goals38%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
29%3 goals25%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
14%4 goals0%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal75%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
43%2 goals50%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
21%3 goals19%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
7%4 goals6%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time13%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
0%BTTS in both halves6%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
21%Scored in both halves19%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
80%BTTS - last 580%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lexington is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.36 pts / match - Lexington · 1.19 pts / match - Phoenix Rising

Lexington - half-time state
36% leading29% draw36% trailing
Phoenix Rising - half-time state
25% leading44% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per match (1st half)1.19
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.44
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.13
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
64%Clean sheet before half-time56%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
57%No goal before half-time63%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)1.5
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)1
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.81
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
36%Clean sheet after half-time50%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising
43%No goal after half-time38%
LexingtonPhoenix Rising

Lexington - second-half results

21% W43% R36% P
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Phoenix Rising - second-half results

38% W38% R25% P
19
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lexington - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.2
Average goals in match1.62.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Phoenix Rising - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match0.42.0
Average goals in match0.83.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lexington
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
4
6
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Phoenix Rising
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
6
31-45
2
8
46-60
6
2
61-75
8
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.97
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-49%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lexington

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Phoenix Rising

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

LexingtonLigaPhoenix Rising
Average goals in match 3.002.79 2.94
Both teams scored 64%58% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 64%52% 50%
Clean sheets 29%26% 25%
Goal before half-time 71%67% 69%
Goal after half-time 79%80% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Lexington 2 - 0 - 0 Phoenix Rising. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Lexington SC
2 : 0
Phoenix Rising FC
Phoenix Rising FC
0 : 1
Lexington SC

FAQ

When do Lexington and Phoenix Rising play?

Lexington face Phoenix Rising on 8 August 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Lexington and Phoenix Rising?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lexington won 2, Phoenix Rising won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?

Lexington score 1.57 goals per game on average and Phoenix Rising 1.44. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Lexington's matches and 56% of Phoenix Rising's.

What form are Lexington and Phoenix Rising in?

Over the last 5 games Lexington have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Phoenix Rising 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lexington vs Phoenix Rising?

The statistical background for Lexington vs Phoenix Rising — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.