Lexington vs Sacramento Republic: match statistics
Sacramento Republic shows significantly better form, sitting in 2nd place in the table with one victory and zero goals conceded this season, while Lexington is in 21st position without a single win. The hosts display alarming form with five defeats in their recent matches and a 100% loss rate at home, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Sacramento has secured 1.8 points per game in their last five fixtures and remains undefeated, which proves their solid defense and efficiency. The difference in quality is clear - Lexington has a negative goal difference and merely 0.2 points per game in their recent games. Taking all statistics into account, Sacramento Republic has a distinct advantage and should win this match.
Lexington vs Sacramento Republic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lexington play Sacramento Republic in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Lexington: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Sacramento Republic: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lexington scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Sacramento Republic scores 1.15 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lexington 64%, Sacramento Republic 54%. Over 2.5: Lexington 64%, Sacramento Republic 31%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lexington has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.38. Lexington: 12.2 shots per match, Sacramento Republic: 10.8.
Match halves
Lexington: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86. Sacramento Republic: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Lexington: 0-15 (5 goals). Sacramento Republic: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Sacramento Republic shows significantly better form, sitting in 2nd place in the table with one victory and zero goals conceded this season, while Lexington is in 21st position without a single win. The hosts display alarming form with five defeats in their recent matches and a 100% loss rate at home, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Sacramento has secured 1.8 points per game in their last five fixtures and remains undefeated, which proves their solid defense and efficiency. The difference in quality is clear - Lexington has a negative goal difference and merely 0.2 points per game in their recent games. Taking all statistics into account, Sacramento Republic has a distinct advantage and should win this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lexington | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lexington is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Lexington · 1.2 pts / match - Sacramento Republic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lexington is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Lexington · 1.15 goals / match - Sacramento Republic
Sacramento Republic is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Lexington · 1 goals / match - Sacramento Republic
Lexington scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Sacramento Republic scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lexington
Over / Under — Sacramento Republic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lexington is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Lexington · 0.92 pts / match - Sacramento Republic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lexington - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lexington
Sacramento Republic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Lexington | Liga | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 52% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Lexington 0 - 2 - 0 Sacramento Republic. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?
The USL Championship match finished Lexington 0:0 Sacramento Republic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Lexington and Sacramento Republic?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Lexington won 0, Sacramento Republic won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?
Lexington score 1.57 goals per game on average and Sacramento Republic 1.15. The USL Championship average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Lexington's matches and 54% of Sacramento Republic's.
What form are Lexington and Sacramento Republic in?
Over the last 5 games Lexington have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sacramento Republic 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lexington vs Sacramento Republic?
The statistical background for Lexington vs Sacramento Republic — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.