Libertad vs Cerro Porteño: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between two teams in excellent form. Libertad is on an impressive run of four consecutive victories, scoring 12 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding only 2. Cerro Porteño has been performing equally well recently, winning 4 of their last 5 games and maintaining a solid defense (60% clean sheets away from home). A key factor is Libertad's advantage in ball possession (58% vs 52%) and better goal efficiency in home matches, giving them a slight edge. However, Cerro Porteño's excellent away defense (averaging 0.8 goals conceded) and identical xG figures (1.32 vs 1.31) suggest that the visitors are capable of containing the hosts. Considering the balance of power, both teams' high form, and minimal differences in key statistics, the most probable scenario is a draw, although Libertad has a slight advantage due to playing at home.
Libertad vs Cerro Porteño: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Libertad played against Cerro Porteño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Libertad has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Cerro Porteño has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Libertad scores 1.64 goals per game and allows 0.91. Cerro Porteño scores 1.27 and allows 0.82. Games in this league average 2.24 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 36% of Libertad's games and 27% of Cerro Porteño's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 18%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 32% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Libertad has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.38 per game. Libertad takes 13.8 shots per game, while Cerro Porteño takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Libertad leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Cerro Porteño leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Libertad's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Cerro Porteño, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.24 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 32% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between two teams in excellent form. Libertad is on an impressive run of four consecutive victories, scoring 12 goals in their last 5 matches while conceding only 2. Cerro Porteño has been performing equally well recently, winning 4 of their last 5 games and maintaining a solid defense (60% clean sheets away from home). A key factor is Libertad's advantage in ball possession (58% vs 52%) and better goal efficiency in home matches, giving them a slight edge. However, Cerro Porteño's excellent away defense (averaging 0.8 goals conceded) and identical xG figures (1.32 vs 1.31) suggest that the visitors are capable of containing the hosts. Considering the balance of power, both teams' high form, and minimal differences in key statistics, the most probable scenario is a draw, although Libertad has a slight advantage due to playing at home.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Libertad | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 29% better for: goals scored per game.
1.64 goals / game - Libertad · 1.27 goals / game - Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.91 goals / game - Libertad · 0.82 goals / game - Cerro Porteño
Libertad scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 meczów).
Cerro Porteño scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 meczów), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Libertad
Over / Under - Cerro Porteño
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Libertad is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / game - Libertad · 1.27 pts / game - Cerro Porteño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Libertad
Cerro Porteño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Libertad | Liga | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.55 | 2.24 | ▼ 2.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 47% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 32% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 30% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Libertad's perspective: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss against Cerro Porteño. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Libertad vs Cerro Porteño?
The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 2:3 Cerro Porteño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Cerro Porteño?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1, Cerro Porteño won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Cerro Porteño?
Libertad score 1.64 goals per game on average and Cerro Porteño 1.27. The Division Profesional average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Libertad's matches and 27% of Cerro Porteño's.
What form are Libertad and Cerro Porteño in?
Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Cerro Porteño 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Cerro Porteño?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.