Libertad vs Deportivo Recoleta: match statistics
Libertad vs Deportivo Recoleta: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Libertad played against Deportivo Recoleta in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on March 30, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Libertad has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Deportivo Recoleta has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Libertad scores 1.54 goals per game and allows 1.15. Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.23 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.31 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Libertad's games and 62% of Deportivo Recoleta's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 46%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Libertad has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.13 per game. Libertad takes 14.1 shots per game, while Deportivo Recoleta takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Libertad leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Deportivo Recoleta leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Libertad's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). For Deportivo Recoleta, it is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.31 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Libertad show higher form and efficiency recently (wwwll, 1.8 PPG) versus Deportivo Recoleta (dlllw, 0.8 PPG). Home factors favor Libertad: greater possession (57% vs 50%), higher shots per match (12.67 vs 9.83) and better xG (1.4 vs 1.09). Libertad average 1.5 home goals with lower avg goals conceded (1.33 vs 1.5), indicating more defensive stability. Recoleta’s poorer recent record and more goals conceded in last 5 (8 vs 6) raise away loss risk. Based on these metrics I predict a home win, with moderate draw probability and lower chance for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Recommendation: BTTS = YES. Strong signal from the home team – seasonal BTTS 71% combined with low CS% (14%) and xG_against 1.45 suggests Libertad frequently concedes. Visitors also tend to score (seasonScoredAVG 1.33, last5 1.0) while conceding ~1.5, increasing the likelihood of Goal/Goal. Shot and SOT numbers and higher visitor shot conversion (14%) indicate realistic scoring chances from both sides. Despite home last5 BTTS at 40%, seasonal signals and defensive profiles favor BTTS YES.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Model relies on balanced xG: 1.17 (Libertad) vs 1.40 (Recoleta defense) and 1.09 (Recoleta) vs 1.45 (Libertad defense) producing estimated expected goals ~1.29 and 1.27. Both teams have 100% Over 0.5 matches and high Over 1.5 rates (71%/83%), with home BTTS 71% indicating frequent both-teams-to-score. Average shots and conversion (especially higher at Recoleta) support moderately high goal potential. Historical Over 2.5 is moderate (43–50%), so less confidence for Over 2.5 and low for Over 3.5. Based on this, strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics strongly point to a HT draw: both teams frequently draw at HT (home 57%, away 50%) and high HT CS% confirm this trend. More goals occur in the second half and Libertad has better last-5 form (60% wins), higher ppg and home advantage, suggesting a turnaround in favor of the hosts. BTTS at HT is low, but season BTTS and high second-half activity indicate goals will come after the break. Considering the hosts’ form advantage and tendency to decide matches after HT, the most reliable signal is draw at HT and Libertad to win FT.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Libertad | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Libertad is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Libertad · 0.8 pts / game - Deportivo Recoleta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.54 goals / game - Libertad · 1.23 goals / game - Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.15 goals / game - Libertad · 1.31 goals / game - Deportivo Recoleta
Libertad scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 meczów), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
Deportivo Recoleta scores in 85% of games (11 of 13 meczów), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Libertad
Over / Under - Deportivo Recoleta
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Libertad is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / game - Libertad · 1.23 pts / game - Deportivo Recoleta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Libertad
Deportivo Recoleta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Libertad | Liga | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.69 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 47% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 33% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 54% | 54% | • 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 81% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Libertad's perspective: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss against Deportivo Recoleta. Games average 3.60 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Libertad vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 1:0 Deportivo Recoleta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Deportivo Recoleta?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Libertad score 1.54 goals per game on average and Deportivo Recoleta 1.23. The Division Profesional average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Libertad's matches and 62% of Deportivo Recoleta's.
What form are Libertad and Deportivo Recoleta in?
Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Deportivo Recoleta 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Deportivo Recoleta?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.