Libertad vs Guaraní: match statistics
Libertad boasts an impressive home form with a 100% win rate and clean sheets in their home matches this season. The team is yet to concede a goal at their own stadium, confirming the solidity of their defense. Guaraní struggles away from home - they have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), with half of those matches ending in defeat. Furthermore, the visitors failed to score in 50% of their away fixtures (FTS% 50%). Despite Guaraní's better overall form (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), Libertad's home advantage and the visitors' away weaknesses point towards a home victory. The difference in ball possession (55% vs 60%) and xG (1.07 vs 1.39) is marginal, but Libertad's efficiency at home should prove decisive for the outcome.
Libertad vs Guaraní: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Libertad play Guaraní in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 8 February 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Libertad: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Guaraní: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Libertad scores 1.55 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Guaraní scores 1.23 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Libertad 41%, Guaraní 45%. Over 2.5: Libertad 45%, Guaraní 41%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Libertad has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.24. Libertad: 13.9 shots per match, Guaraní: 11.0.
Match halves
Libertad: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.91. Guaraní: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Libertad: 46-60 (8 goals). Guaraní: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-0-3. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 40%.
Match description
Libertad boasts an impressive home form with a 100% win rate and clean sheets in their home matches this season. The team is yet to concede a goal at their own stadium, confirming the solidity of their defense. Guaraní struggles away from home - they have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), with half of those matches ending in defeat. Furthermore, the visitors failed to score in 50% of their away fixtures (FTS% 50%). Despite Guaraní's better overall form (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG), Libertad's home advantage and the visitors' away weaknesses point towards a home victory. The difference in ball possession (55% vs 60%) and xG (1.07 vs 1.39) is marginal, but Libertad's efficiency at home should prove decisive for the outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Libertad | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Libertad is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Libertad · 1 pts / match - Guaraní
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Libertad · 1.23 goals / match - Guaraní
Guaraní is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Libertad · 1.05 goals / match - Guaraní
Libertad scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Guaraní keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Guaraní scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Libertad
Over / Under — Guaraní
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guaraní is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Libertad · 1.41 pts / match - Guaraní
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Guaraní - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Libertad
Guaraní
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Libertad | Liga | Guaraní | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 43% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 29% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Libertad 2 - 0 - 3 Guaraní. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Libertad vs Guaraní?
The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 3:3 Guaraní. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Guaraní?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2, Guaraní won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Guaraní?
Libertad score 1.55 goals per game on average and Guaraní 1.23. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Libertad's matches and 45% of Guaraní's.
What form are Libertad and Guaraní in?
Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Guaraní 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Guaraní?
The statistical background for Libertad vs Guaraní — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.