Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño: match statistics
Libertad seems to hold a slight advantage in this meeting, mainly thanks to playing at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in terms of possession (61% vs 54%) and create more scoring opportunities (averaging 10.67 shots vs 10.25), which translates to a higher average xG (1.41 vs 1.06). Sportivo Luqueño presents better form in the last five matches (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 PPG) and an impressive away record with 50% wins, however, they have not yet kept a clean sheet away this season. Libertad has a balanced home record (33% wins, draws, and defeats), but their advantage in offensive and defensive statistics on their own turf should give them a slight edge. I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a draw also remaining a realistic scenario due to the solid form of the guests.
Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Libertad played against Sportivo Luqueño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Libertad has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Sportivo Luqueño has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Libertad scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 1.13. Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.13 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Libertad's games and 63% of Sportivo Luqueño's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 50%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Libertad has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.27 per game. Libertad takes 14.3 shots per game, while Sportivo Luqueño takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Libertad leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Sportivo Luqueño leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Libertad's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Sportivo Luqueño, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Division Profesional games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Libertad seems to hold a slight advantage in this meeting, mainly thanks to playing at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in terms of possession (61% vs 54%) and create more scoring opportunities (averaging 10.67 shots vs 10.25), which translates to a higher average xG (1.41 vs 1.06). Sportivo Luqueño presents better form in the last five matches (1.4 PPG vs 0.8 PPG) and an impressive away record with 50% wins, however, they have not yet kept a clean sheet away this season. Libertad has a balanced home record (33% wins, draws, and defeats), but their advantage in offensive and defensive statistics on their own turf should give them a slight edge. I expect a closely contested match with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a draw also remaining a realistic scenario due to the solid form of the guests.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Libertad | Sportivo Luqueño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sportivo Luqueño is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Libertad · 1.4 pts / game - Sportivo Luqueño
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 44% better for: goals scored per game.
1.63 goals / game - Libertad · 1.13 goals / game - Sportivo Luqueño
Libertad is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.13 goals / game - Libertad · 1.38 goals / game - Sportivo Luqueño
Libertad scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 meczów).
Sportivo Luqueño scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 meczów), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Libertad
Over / Under - Sportivo Luqueño
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sportivo Luqueño is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Libertad · 1.5 pts / game - Sportivo Luqueño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Libertad
Sportivo Luqueño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Libertad | Liga | Sportivo Luqueño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.75 | 2.40 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 38% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Libertad's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Sportivo Luqueño. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño?
The Division Profesional match finished Libertad 1:0 Sportivo Luqueño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Libertad and Sportivo Luqueño?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Libertad won 2, Sportivo Luqueño won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño?
Libertad score 1.63 goals per game on average and Sportivo Luqueño 1.13. The Division Profesional average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Libertad's matches and 63% of Sportivo Luqueño's.
What form are Libertad and Sportivo Luqueño in?
Over the last 5 games Libertad have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sportivo Luqueño 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Libertad vs Sportivo Luqueño?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.