Liefering vs WSPG Wels: match statistics

Liefering head into this match in excellent form, having won all of their last 5 games, scoring 16 goals and conceding just 3. In the opening match of the current season, the hosts secured a 4:0 victory, while WSPG Wels began their campaign with a 0:2 defeat. The visitors have won only 2 of their last five matches, suffering 3 defeats and scoring just 4 goals—four times fewer than Liefering. The difference in attacking efficiency is clear: the hosts average 3.2 goals across their last five appearances, compared with just 0.8 for WSPG Wels. In addition, Liefering sit 3rd in the table, while their opponents are 12th, further strengthening the case for a confident home win.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as WSPG Wels have scored an average of just 0.8 goals over their last five matches, while both teams scored in only 20% of their games. Liefering are in an excellent run of five consecutive victories and conceded just 3 goals during this period—an average of 0.6 per match—which limits the visitors’ chances of finding the net. The home side should still create chances, having scored an average of 3.2 goals per match with an xG of 2.00, while Wels conceded an average of 1.0 goal. The visitors do have an xG of 1.25, but their actual finishing efficiency and low BTTS percentage point more strongly towards a scenario in which at least one team—Wels in particular—fails to score.

Liefering are in excellent form, having won their last five matches and scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game, while conceding just 0.6. The hosts generated an xG of 2.00 during this period, whereas WSPG Wels have averaged only 0.8 goals per match. At least three goals were scored in four of Liefering’s last five matches, with their games producing 19 goals in total, or 3.8 per match. However, Wels have a more conservative profile, as only 20% of their last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, which limits confidence in higher goal lines. The strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals: the hosts’ attacking superiority and a projected total of 2.90 goals provide clear grounds to expect at least two goals.

The strongest scenario is Liefering leading at the break and holding on to win, as the hosts have won all of their last five matches, while WSPG Wels have lost three of five. Liefering were ahead at half-time in 80% of these matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals before the break while conceding just 0.4. The hosts’ advantage continues after the interval: they score an average of 1.2 goals in the second half and concede only 0.2, while the visitors have failed to score after half-time in each of their last five appearances. Across this entire period, Liefering average 3.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, compared with 0.8 and 1.0 respectively for Wels. The visitors’ seasonal data is very limited, leaving some room for surprises, but current form and the hosts’ clear advantage in both halves provide the strongest support for the 1/1 HT/FT outcome.