Liepāja vs FS Jelgava: match statistics
Liepāja vs FS Jelgava: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liepāja play FS Jelgava in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Liepāja: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. FS Jelgava: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liepāja scores 1.27 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. FS Jelgava scores 1.04 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liepāja 55%, FS Jelgava 43%. Over 2.5: Liepāja 59%, FS Jelgava 39%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Liepāja has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.30. Liepāja: 12.4 shots per match, FS Jelgava: 10.6.
Match halves
Liepāja: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.68. FS Jelgava: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Liepāja: 31-45+ (7 goals). FS Jelgava: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 3-2-0. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 60%.
Match description
I back a home win (Liepāja). In their last 5 matches Liepāja conceded 6 goals (1.2 per game) and averaged 1.2 points per match, whereas FS Jelgava conceded 12 goals (2.4 per game) and averaged 0.8 points per match. The visitors create more chances on the road (avg. 15 shots per game, 4 on target and xG 1.8), but a low conversion rate of 7% yields roughly 1 goal per game, while the hosts at home register 7 shots with 2.33 on target and a 14% conversion, translating to about 1 goal with xG 0.92. Higher possession for the visitors (52% vs 46%) and superior xG indicate the quality of Jelgava’s chances, but the guests’ poorer defensive form and the hosts’ greater shooting efficiency incline me toward a narrow Liepāja victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liepāja | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FS Jelgava is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Liepāja · 1.8 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liepāja is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Liepāja · 1.04 goals / match - FS Jelgava
Liepāja is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.55 goals / match - Liepāja · 1.7 goals / match - FS Jelgava
Liepāja scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
FS Jelgava scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Liepāja
Over / Under — FS Jelgava
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FS Jelgava is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Liepāja · 1.43 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liepāja
FS Jelgava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Liepāja | Liga | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.82 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | • 55% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Liepāja 3 - 2 - 0 FS Jelgava. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liepāja vs FS Jelgava?
The Virsliga match finished Liepāja 1:1 FS Jelgava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Liepāja and FS Jelgava?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 3, FS Jelgava won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Liepāja vs FS Jelgava?
Liepāja score 1.27 goals per game on average and FS Jelgava 1.04. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Liepāja's matches and 43% of FS Jelgava's.
What form are Liepāja and FS Jelgava in?
Over the last 5 games Liepāja have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and FS Jelgava 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liepāja vs FS Jelgava?
The statistical background for Liepāja vs FS Jelgava — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.