Liepāja vs Super Nova: match statistics
Liepāja vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Liepāja played against Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on June 12, 2026. Venue: Stadions Daugava. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Liepāja has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Super Nova has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Liepāja scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 1.44. Super Nova scores 1.13 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 3.01 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Liepāja's games and 63% of Super Nova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 56%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Liepāja has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.09 per game. Liepāja takes 12.1 shots per game, while Super Nova takes 8.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Liepāja leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. Super Nova leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Liepāja's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Super Nova, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 3.01 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Liepāja is the favorite in this match due to superior form and efficiency: in the last 5 matches the home side scored 11 goals (2.2 per match) and average 2.0 points per match, while Super Nova scored 7 goals in their last 5 (1.4 per match) and average 1.4 points per match. At home Liepāja averages 1.75 goals per game with 10.5 shots and 4.75 shots on target, and has a 17% conversion rate, whereas the visitors on the road average 1.00 goal with 8.33 shots and 3.33 shots on target and a 12% conversion. Defensively the hosts concede 1.00 goal at home and have an average xG against of 1.32, while Super Nova concedes 1.11 goals away and allows 1.52 xG against, giving Liepāja a slight qualitative edge in chance control. Additionally, Liepāja is less likely to be shut out (13% of home matches without scoring vs 33% for the visitors) and has a home goal difference of +6, while Super Nova have an away goal difference of -1. Given the advantage in chance creation and finishing (4.75 vs 3.33 shots on target and 17% vs 12% conversion) I predict a home win; probability distribution: 60% Liepāja, 20% draw, 20% Super Nova.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal in favor of BTTS - Yes is based on Liepāja’s season BTTS rate of 100% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Super Nova has a season BTTS of 33% but 60% in their last 5. Liepāja concedes an average of 1.86 goals this season with xG against of 1.90, indicating the hosts regularly allow goals; they also have zero clean sheets (0%). Super Nova concedes 1.11 goals on average this season, but their xG against in the last 5 increased to 1.88 and they actually conceded 1.4 goals on average, so their defense has been more vulnerable recently. Offensively Liepāja have averaged 2.2 goals in the last 5 with xG_for 1.77, while Super Nova recorded 1.4 goals in that period, so both sides possess realistic goal-scoring potential. Considering the league BTTS rate of 59% and the combination of 100% home BTTS for Liepāja versus Super Nova’s deteriorating defense in L5, I assess the probability of BTTS at 70% for Yes and 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model forecasts 1.83 expected goals for Liepāja and 1.26 for Super Nova, totaling 3.09 goals. It is based on the last 5 matches: Liepāja has xG_for 1.77 and xG_against 1.44, Super Nova xG_for 1.09 and xG_against 1.88 — the averages of these values produced the above expectations. Seasonally Liepāja at home has 100% of matches over 1.5 goals, and Super Nova 67%; in the last 5 Liepāja scored 11 and conceded 6 goals (avg. 3.4 goals/match), Super Nova 7 and 7 (avg. 2.8). Seasonal percentages over 2.5 are 71% for Liepāja and 44% for Super Nova (last 5: 80% vs 60%), therefore Over 2.5 also looks likely (~66%), whereas Over 3.5 is less certain (~25%). Given the expected 3.09 goals and the extreme signal over 1.5 (100% of Liepāja’s home matches), the best market to play is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to an away win after 90 minutes — Super Nova wins 56% of their away matches and averages 1.67 points per away game, while Liepāja has only 14% home wins and 0.71 points per home match. At half-time a draw is more likely: Liepāja averages 0.86 goals scored and concedes 1.29 by the break, while Super Nova scores 0.44 and concedes 0.44; additionally Super Nova records 78% clean sheets in the first half on the road, which favors maintaining a draw at the break. xG metrics confirm the visitors’ advantage — xG_for_avg_away is 1.14 versus 1.02 for the hosts, and opponents create on average 1.90 xG against Liepāja compared to 1.52 against Super Nova, indicating higher-quality chances for the visitors and weaker Liepāja defense. Therefore the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Super Nova win after 90 minutes (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Liepāja | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Liepāja is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Liepāja · 1.4 pts / game - Super Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liepāja is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Liepāja · 1.13 goals / game - Super Nova
Liepāja scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 meczów).
Super Nova scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Liepāja keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Liepāja
Over / Under - Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Liepāja is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Liepāja · 1.19 pts / game - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liepāja - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Liepāja
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Liepāja | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.75 | 3.01 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 86% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Liepāja's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Super Nova. Games average 3.40 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Liepāja vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished Liepāja 2:1 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Liepāja and Super Nova?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Liepāja won 2, Super Nova won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Liepāja vs Super Nova?
Liepāja score 1.31 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.13. The Virsliga average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Liepāja's matches and 63% of Super Nova's.
What form are Liepāja and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Liepāja have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Super Nova 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liepāja vs Super Nova?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Liepāja vs Super Nova: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.