Lille vs Brest: match statistics
Lille displays significantly better home form with a 60% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+5), compared to Brest's poor away results (only 20% wins, -8 goal difference). The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per home match with an xG of 1.7, while Brest concedes an average of 2 goals away with an xG against of 1.63, indicating the visitors' defensive vulnerability. Lille holds an advantage in possession (51% vs 42%), shot accuracy, and the average number of shots on target (4.9 vs 3.0). The recent form of both teams is inconsistent, but Lille has the home advantage and better offensive statistics in home matches. Considering all factors, the hosts are the favorite, although Brest is capable of scoring away goals, which increases the chance of a draw or an away upset.
Lille vs Brest: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lille played against Brest in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Lille has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Brest has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Lille scores 1.62 goals per game and allows 1.43. Brest scores 1.33 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Lille's games and 48% of Brest's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 57%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lille has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.31 per game. Lille takes 14.3 shots per game, while Brest takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Lille leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.19 goals per game after halftime. Brest leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lille's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (20 goals). For Brest, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lille displays significantly better home form with a 60% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+5), compared to Brest's poor away results (only 20% wins, -8 goal difference). The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per home match with an xG of 1.7, while Brest concedes an average of 2 goals away with an xG against of 1.63, indicating the visitors' defensive vulnerability. Lille holds an advantage in possession (51% vs 42%), shot accuracy, and the average number of shots on target (4.9 vs 3.0). The recent form of both teams is inconsistent, but Lille has the home advantage and better offensive statistics in home matches. Considering all factors, the hosts are the favorite, although Brest is capable of scoring away goals, which increases the chance of a draw or an away upset.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lille | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Brest is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Lille · 1.4 pts / game - Brest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lille is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.62 goals / game - Lille · 1.33 goals / game - Brest
Lille is 10% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Lille · 1.57 goals / game - Brest
Lille scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 meczów), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
Brest scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lille
Over / Under - Brest
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lille - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Brest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lille
Brest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lille | Liga | Brest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.05 | 2.82 | • 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Lille's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Brest. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lille vs Brest?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lille 1:1 Brest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lille vs Brest?
Lille score 1.62 goals per game on average and Brest 1.33. The Ligue 1 average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Lille's matches and 48% of Brest's.
What form are Lille and Brest in?
Over the last 5 games Lille have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Brest 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lille vs Brest?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lille vs Brest: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.