Lille vs Nantes: match statistics
Lille clearly dominates this encounter, sitting 5th in the table with a solid record of 11 wins this season, while Nantes is in the precarious 17th position with only 4 victories. The hosts display impressive home form with a 55% win rate and a positive +5 goal difference at home, scoring an average of 1.64 goals per game while conceding just 1.18. Nantes has a disastrous away form with a 55% loss rate, conceding an average of 1.64 goals and scoring only 0.91 per match, with a negative -8 goal difference. xG statistics also favor Lille (1.75 xG For vs 1.14 xG Against in home matches), while Nantes has a negative xG differential away (1.03 vs 1.77). Recent form over the last 5 matches confirms the hosts' superiority (1.6 PPG) over the visitors (0.6 PPG), making a Lille victory the most likely scenario.
Lille vs Nantes: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Lille played against Nantes in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Lille has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Nantes has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Lille scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 1.35. Nantes scores 0.96 and allows 1.74. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Lille's games and 52% of Nantes's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 48%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lille has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.11 per game. Lille takes 14.6 shots per game, while Nantes takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Lille leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. Nantes leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.39 after halftime.
When the teams score
Lille's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (20 goals). For Nantes, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lille clearly dominates this encounter, sitting 5th in the table with a solid record of 11 wins this season, while Nantes is in the precarious 17th position with only 4 victories. The hosts display impressive home form with a 55% win rate and a positive +5 goal difference at home, scoring an average of 1.64 goals per game while conceding just 1.18. Nantes has a disastrous away form with a 55% loss rate, conceding an average of 1.64 goals and scoring only 0.91 per match, with a negative -8 goal difference. xG statistics also favor Lille (1.75 xG For vs 1.14 xG Against in home matches), while Nantes has a negative xG differential away (1.03 vs 1.77). Recent form over the last 5 matches confirms the hosts' superiority (1.6 PPG) over the visitors (0.6 PPG), making a Lille victory the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Lille | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lille is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Lille · 0.6 pts / game - Nantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lille is 64% better for: goals scored per game.
1.57 goals / game - Lille · 0.96 goals / game - Nantes
Lille is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.35 goals / game - Lille · 1.74 goals / game - Nantes
Lille scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
Nantes scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 meczów), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Lille
Over / Under - Nantes
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lille is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / game - Lille · 1.13 pts / game - Nantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lille - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Lille
Nantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Lille | Liga | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.91 | 2.80 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 29% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Lille's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Nantes. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Lille vs Nantes?
The Ligue 1 match finished Lille 1:0 Nantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lille vs Nantes?
Lille score 1.57 goals per game on average and Nantes 0.96. The Ligue 1 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Lille's matches and 52% of Nantes's.
What form are Lille and Nantes in?
Over the last 5 games Lille have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nantes 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lille vs Nantes?
The statistical background for Lille vs Nantes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.