Lille vs Paris: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Lille play Paris in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 23 November 2025 at 20:45. Final score: 4:2.

Current form

Lille: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Paris: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Lille scores 1.53 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Paris scores 1.38 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Lille 38%, Paris 62%. Over 2.5: Lille 38%, Paris 56%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Lille has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.30. Lille: 13.6 shots per match, Paris: 11.7.

Match halves

Lille: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.09. Paris: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.

Goals by minute

Lille: 76-90+ (23 goals). Paris: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
3 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
LilleParis
17Shots6
LilleParis
10Shots on target3
LilleParis
2.17xG0.83
LilleParis
9Corners4
LilleParis
54Dangerous attacks32
LilleParis
9Fouls12
LilleParis
1Cards2
LilleParis

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.53Goals scored / match1.38
LilleParis
1.09Goals conceded / match1.47
LilleParis
56%Average possession50%
LilleParis
4.62Shots on target / match3.97
LilleParis

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.59Shots per match11.68
LilleParis
4.62Shots on target3.97
LilleParis
11.3%Shot conversion11.8%
LilleParis
56%Possession50%
LilleParis
1.6xG for1.3
LilleParis
1.07xG against1.4
LilleParis

Shooting quality

Lille: BalancedParis: Balanced
LilleParis
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Paris is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Lille · 1.8 pts / match - Paris

Lille
DWDWL
Season result split
53% W21% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-7-9
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-5-4
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 0.77BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Paris
WLWLW
Season result split
32% W32% R35% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-11-12
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-7-6
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lille is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - Lille · 1.38 goals / match - Paris

Lille is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Lille · 1.47 goals / match - Paris

Lille scoring profile: very strong

Lille scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

Paris scoring profile: strong

Paris scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).

52Goals scored (season)47
LilleParis
37Goals conceded (season)50
LilleParis
2.62Average goals in match2.85
LilleParis
3Goals scored (last 5)10
LilleParis
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
LilleParis

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal74%
LilleParis
32%2 goals41%
LilleParis
21%3 goals18%
LilleParis
15%4 goals6%
LilleParis

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal76%
LilleParis
29%2 goals38%
LilleParis
15%3 goals18%
LilleParis
3%4 goals9%
LilleParis

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time24%
LilleParis
6%BTTS in both halves9%
LilleParis
24%Scored in both halves24%
LilleParis

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
LilleParis
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
LilleParis
20%BTTS - last 560%
LilleParis

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
LilleParis
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
LilleParis
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
LilleParis

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
LilleParis
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
LilleParis
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
LilleParis

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lille is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Lille · 1.15 pts / match - Paris

Lille - half-time state
32% leading41% draw26% trailing
Paris - half-time state
24% leading44% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.15
LilleParis
0.44Goals scored (1st half)0.62
LilleParis
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
LilleParis
0.85Average goals (1st half)1.24
LilleParis
65%Clean sheet before half-time50%
LilleParis
62%No goal before half-time56%
LilleParis

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)1.24
LilleParis
1.09Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
LilleParis
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
LilleParis
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.62
LilleParis
50%Clean sheet after half-time44%
LilleParis
44%No goal after half-time47%
LilleParis

Lille - second-half results

35% W41% R24% P
47
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paris - second-half results

26% W44% R29% P
39
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Lille - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Paris - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Lille
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
5
4
16-30
5
7
31-45
9
9
46-60
5
7
61-75
23
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.

Paris
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
9
9
16-30
5
9
31-45
5
10
46-60
7
6
61-75
14
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.73
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Lille

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Paris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).

Teams vs league

LilleLigaParis
Average goals in match 2.622.83 2.85
Both teams scored 38%51% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%53% 56%
Clean sheets 38%28% 24%
Goal before half-time 65%70% 71%
Goal after half-time 74%79% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Lille 1 - 0 - 0 Paris. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Lille vs Paris?

The Ligue 1 match finished Lille 4:2 Paris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lille vs Paris?

Lille score 1.53 goals per game on average and Paris 1.38. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Lille's matches and 62% of Paris's.

What form are Lille and Paris in?

Over the last 5 games Lille have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Paris 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lille vs Paris?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.