England - EFL League OneData current as of September 13, 2026

Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics

Lincoln City crest
Lincoln City
1 : 1half-time 1:0
Bolton Wanderers crest
Bolton Wanderers
155%(2.37)
X30%(3.40)
215%(2.87)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.37.56
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.30.35%

Lincoln City are displaying impressive home form with a 73% win rate at their own ground and only a 7% loss rate, making them one of the strongest home sides in the league. Their recent results (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches) and a 15-match unbeaten streak at home confirm the team's stability. Bolton Wanderers, despite decent overall form, have a significantly weaker away record – only a 27% win rate on the road, 40% draws, and a negative goal difference (-6). Furthermore, Bolton average only 0.8 goals per away match and fail to score in 27% of their away fixtures, which is a significant weakness. Lincoln's advantage in goal-scoring efficiency in home matches (2.07 goals on average) and superior chance conversion (16% vs 5%) favor a home win, although Bolton's solid defense and possession may result in a closely contested match.

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Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Lincoln City played against Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Lincoln City has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Bolton Wanderers has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Lincoln City scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 1.00. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.32 and allows 0.94. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 53% of Lincoln City's games and 55% of Bolton Wanderers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 42%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bolton Wanderers has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.32 per game. Lincoln City takes 11.3 shots per game, while Bolton Wanderers takes 16.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Lincoln City leads at halftime in 63% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Bolton Wanderers leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.77 after halftime.

When the teams score

Lincoln City's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Bolton Wanderers, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Lincoln City are displaying impressive home form with a 73% win rate at their own ground and only a 7% loss rate, making them one of the strongest home sides in the league. Their recent results (4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches) and a 15-match unbeaten streak at home confirm the team's stability. Bolton Wanderers, despite decent overall form, have a significantly weaker away record – only a 27% win rate on the road, 40% draws, and a negative goal difference (-6). Furthermore, Bolton average only 0.8 goals per away match and fail to score in 27% of their away fixtures, which is a significant weakness. Lincoln's advantage in goal-scoring efficiency in home matches (2.07 goals on average) and superior chance conversion (16% vs 5%) favor a home win, although Bolton's solid defense and possession may result in a closely contested match.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

39Possession (%)61
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
22Shots8
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
10Shots on target3
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
2.4xG1.13
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
4Corners3
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
44Dangerous attacks56
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
11Fouls11
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
2Cards5
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.03Points per gamePPG - points per game.1.77
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
1.73Goals scored / game1.32
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
1Goals allowed / game0.94
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
1.32xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.81
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
42%Average possession59%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
4.03Shots on target / game4.9
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
33%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.32%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
53%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.55%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.33Shots per game16.71
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
4.03Shots on target4.9
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
15.3%Shot conversion7.9%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
42%Possession59%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
1.32xG for1.81
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
1.34xG against1.04
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

Shooting quality

Lincoln City: Counter-attackingBolton Wanderers: Dominant
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
Accuracy (shots on target)36%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lincoln City
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
60% W23% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-7-5
2.03 pts / game · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-3-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Bolton Wanderers
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
48% W32% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-10-6
1.77 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-6-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DLWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lincoln City is 31% better for: goals scored per game.

1.73 goals / game - Lincoln City · 1.32 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers

Bolton Wanderers is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Lincoln City · 0.94 goals / game - Bolton Wanderers

Lincoln City scoring profile: very strong

Lincoln City scores in 83% of games (25 of 30 meczów), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 meczów).

Bolton Wanderers scoring profile: strong

Bolton Wanderers scores in 77% of games (24 of 31 meczów), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 meczów).

52Goals scored (season)41
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
30Goals conceded (season)29
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
2.73Average goals per game2.26
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
12Goals scored (last 5)8
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
Lincoln City
33%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.10 of 30 meczów
17%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 30 meczów
Bolton Wanderers
32%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.10 of 31 meczów
23%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.7 of 31 meczów

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal77%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
57%2 goals35%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
23%3 goals13%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
7%4 goals6%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal68%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
27%2 goals19%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
7%3 goals6%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
0%4 goals0%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

53%
Lincoln City - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 30 meczów
55%
Bolton Wanderers - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 31 meczów
51%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time6%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
43%Scored in both halves16%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
60%BTTS - last 560%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

97%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.90%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
73%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.74%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
53%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.42%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
30%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.13%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
13%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.6%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

Over / Under - Lincoln City

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 73%Under 27%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 53%Under 47%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 30%Under 70%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%

Over / Under - Bolton Wanderers

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 90%Under 10%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 74%Under 26%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 42%Under 58%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 13%Under 87%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 6%Under 94%

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time16%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lincoln City is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.17 pts / game - Lincoln City · 1.35 pts / game - Bolton Wanderers

Lincoln City - half-time state
63% leading27% draw10% trailing
Bolton Wanderers - half-time state
32% leading39% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.17Points per game (1st half)1.35
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
0.93Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.9
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
70%Clean sheet before half-time68%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
27%No goal before half-time65%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per game (2nd half)1.52
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
1.4Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
43%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers
47%No goal after half-time42%
Lincoln CityBolton Wanderers

Lincoln City - second-half results

37% W37% D27% L
65
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding95%

Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 60%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bolton Wanderers - second-half results

35% W45% D19% L
42
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Lincoln City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.20
Goals scored / game1.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.80.0
Average goals per game2.21.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+3+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7
Bolton Wanderers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.60
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.00.8
Average goals per game0.81.6
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Lincoln City
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
8
2
16-30
12
7
31-45
5
5
46-60
11
4
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Bolton Wanderers
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
6
2
16-30
6
6
31-45
6
8
46-60
6
5
61-75
12
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Lincoln City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Bolton Wanderers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.83
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Lincoln CityLigaBolton Wanderers
Average goals per game▲ 2.732.58▼ 2.26
Both teams scored▲ 53%51%▲ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 53%50%▼ 42%
Clean sheets▲ 33%27%▲ 32%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%68%▼ 61%
Goal after half-time• 80%81%▼ 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Lincoln CityYellow cardFreddie Draper
  2. Lincoln CityYellow cardIvan Varfolomieiev
  3. Bolton WanderersYellow cardEthan Erhahon
  4. Lincoln CityGoalJack MoylanAssist: Reeco Lee Hackett-Fairchild
  5. Bolton WanderersYellow cardKyle Michael Dempsey
  6. Bolton WanderersYellow cardSamuel George Dalby
  7. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Ibrahim CissokoOff: Corey Taylor
  8. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Joshua Luke SheehanOff: Kyle Michael Dempsey
  9. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Johnny KennyOff: Robert Apter
  10. Bolton WanderersSubstitutionOn: Rúben da Rocha RodriguesOff: John Mcatee
  11. Lincoln CitySubstitutionOn: Ryley TowlerOff: Ivan Varfolomieiev
  12. Bolton WanderersGoalSamuel George DalbyAssist: Ethan Erhahon
  13. Bolton WanderersYellow cardJoshua Luke Sheehan
  14. Lincoln CitySubstitutionOn: Ryan OneOff: Robert Street
  15. Bolton WanderersYellow cardJohnny Kenny

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeWill Finnie

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Will FinnieMatches officiated: 12
3.5Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 242%Home wins42%Draws17%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Lincoln City's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Bolton Wanderers. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Bolton Wanderers FC
1 : 1
Lincoln City FC

FAQ

What was the result of Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers?

The EFL League One match finished Lincoln City 1:1 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers?

Lincoln City score 1.73 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.32. The EFL League One average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Lincoln City's matches and 55% of Bolton Wanderers's.

What form are Lincoln City and Bolton Wanderers in?

Over the last 5 games Lincoln City have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers?

The statistical background for Lincoln City vs Bolton Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.