England - EFL League OneData current as of September 13, 2026

Lincoln City vs Burton Albion: match statistics

Lincoln City crest
Lincoln City
2 : 1half-time 1:1
Burton Albion crest
Burton Albion
165%(1.61)
X22%(4.00)
213%(5.00)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Won
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.58.02
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favorable long term.4.65%

Lincoln City demonstrates decisively better form and home statistics, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 69% wins at home. The hosts have earned 2.2 points per match in their last 5 fixtures, losing none, whereas Burton Albion shows poor away disposition (19th place, only 25% away victories). Lincoln scores an average of 2 goals per match in home games with just 1 conceded goal, resulting in a +13 goal difference, while Burton concedes an average of 1.42 goals away with a negative difference of -5. Additionally, the hosts have a better shot conversion rate (15% vs 9%) and higher average xG (1.5 vs 1.23), confirming their offensive superiority. Considering all statistical data, Lincoln City holds a clear advantage and should triumph in this encounter.

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Lincoln City vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Lincoln City played against Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The game was played on January 22, 2026. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Lincoln City has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Burton Albion has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Lincoln City scores 1.62 goals per game and allows 1.08. Burton Albion scores 1.04 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Lincoln City's games and 36% of Burton Albion's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 52%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Burton Albion has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.30 per game. Lincoln City takes 11.2 shots per game, while Burton Albion takes 11.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Lincoln City leads at halftime in 65% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Burton Albion leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.52 after halftime.

When the teams score

Lincoln City's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Burton Albion, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League One games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Lincoln City demonstrates decisively better form and home statistics, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 69% wins at home. The hosts have earned 2.2 points per match in their last 5 fixtures, losing none, whereas Burton Albion shows poor away disposition (19th place, only 25% away victories). Lincoln scores an average of 2 goals per match in home games with just 1 conceded goal, resulting in a +13 goal difference, while Burton concedes an average of 1.42 goals away with a negative difference of -5. Additionally, the hosts have a better shot conversion rate (15% vs 9%) and higher average xG (1.5 vs 1.23), confirming their offensive superiority. Considering all statistical data, Lincoln City holds a clear advantage and should triumph in this encounter.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
10Shots10
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
4Shots on target2
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
1.14xG1.24
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
2Corners5
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
31Dangerous attacks65
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
18Fouls9
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
3Cards0
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.88Points per gamePPG - points per game.1.2
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
1.62Goals scored / game1.04
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
1.08Goals allowed / game1.4
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
1.3xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.36
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
42%Average possession44%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
3.92Shots on target / game3.68
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
31%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.28%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
54%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.36%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.23Shots per game11.72
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
3.92Shots on target3.68
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
14.4%Shot conversion8.9%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
42%Possession44%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
1.3xG for1.36
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
1.39xG against1.52
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

Shooting quality

Lincoln City: Counter-attackingBurton Albion: Balanced
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
Accuracy (shots on target)35%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lincoln City is 83% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Lincoln City · 1.2 pts / game - Burton Albion

Lincoln City
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
54% W27% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-7-5
1.88 pts / game · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-3-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Burton Albion
WLLLW
Season result split
32% W24% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-11
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lincoln City is 56% better for: goals scored per game.

1.62 goals / game - Lincoln City · 1.04 goals / game - Burton Albion

Lincoln City is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.08 goals / game - Lincoln City · 1.4 goals / game - Burton Albion

Lincoln City scoring profile: very strong

Lincoln City scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).

Burton Albion scoring profile: mixed

Burton Albion scores in 52% of games (13 of 25 meczów), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).

42Goals scored (season)26
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
28Goals conceded (season)35
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
2.69Average goals per game2.44
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
12Goals scored (last 5)8
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
Lincoln City
31%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.8 of 26 meczów
19%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 26 meczów
Burton Albion
28%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.7 of 25 meczów
48%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.12 of 25 meczów

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal52%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
54%2 goals32%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
19%3 goals12%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
4%4 goals4%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal72%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
31%2 goals40%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
8%3 goals20%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
0%4 goals8%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
Lincoln City - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 26 meczów
36%
Burton Albion - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 25 meczów
50%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time8%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
4%BTTS in both halves0%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
38%Scored in both halves20%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
80%BTTS - last 540%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

96%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.88%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
73%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.64%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
50%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.52%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
31%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.28%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
12%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.8%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

Over / Under - Lincoln City

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 96%Under 4%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 73%Under 27%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 50%Under 50%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 31%Under 69%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 12%Under 88%

Over / Under - Burton Albion

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 88%Under 12%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 64%Under 36%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 52%Under 48%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 28%Under 72%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 8%Under 92%

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lincoln City is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.19 pts / game - Lincoln City · 1.24 pts / game - Burton Albion

Lincoln City - half-time state
65% leading23% draw12% trailing
Burton Albion - half-time state
28% leading40% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.19Points per game (1st half)1.24
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.52
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.08
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
73%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
31%No goal before half-time68%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

After half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points per game (2nd half)1.16
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.52
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.84
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
1.42Average goals (2nd half)1.36
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
35%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion
50%No goal after half-time60%
Lincoln CityBurton Albion

Lincoln City - second-half results

31% W38% D31% L
57
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at halftime in 65% of games and wins 54%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Burton Albion - second-half results

28% W32% D40% L
31
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Lincoln City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.80
Goals scored / game1.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game2.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Burton Albion - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game1.00.8
Average goals per game2.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Lincoln City
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
7
2
16-30
9
6
31-45
3
5
46-60
10
4
61-75
6
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Burton Albion
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
6
6
16-30
4
7
31-45
5
5
46-60
4
8
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.57
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-61%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Lincoln City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Burton Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Lincoln CityLigaBurton Albion
Average goals per game▲ 2.692.54▼ 2.44
Both teams scored▲ 54%50%▼ 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 50%49%▲ 52%
Clean sheets▲ 31%28%• 28%
Goal before half-time▲ 81%68%▼ 64%
Goal after half-time• 81%81%▼ 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.47
Home goals / game
1.07
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Lincoln CityGoalJack MoylanAssist: Freddie Draper
  2. Burton AlbionGoalJake BeesleyAssist: Jack Armer
  3. Lincoln CityGoalJack Moylan
  4. Burton AlbionSubstitutionOn: Seb RevanOff: Julian Larsson
  5. Burton AlbionSubstitutionOn: Fabio TavaresOff: Kain Adom
  6. Lincoln CitySubstitutionOn: Alfie LloydOff: Robert Street
  7. Lincoln CityYellow cardThomas Philip Hamer
  8. Burton AlbionSubstitutionOn: Tomas KalinauskasOff: Toby Peter Sibbick
  9. Lincoln CityYellow cardAlfie Lloyd
  10. Lincoln CityYellow cardTendayi Darikwa

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeMatthew Corlett

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Matthew CorlettMatches officiated: 17
5.18Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 247%Home wins12%Draws41%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Lincoln City's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Burton Albion. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Burton Albion FC
0 : 1
Lincoln City FC

FAQ

What was the result of Lincoln City vs Burton Albion?

The EFL League One match finished Lincoln City 2:1 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Lincoln City vs Burton Albion?

Lincoln City score 1.62 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.04. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Lincoln City's matches and 36% of Burton Albion's.

What form are Lincoln City and Burton Albion in?

Over the last 5 games Lincoln City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Burton Albion 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lincoln City vs Burton Albion?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lincoln City vs Burton Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.