Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Linfield played against Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The game was played on November 29, 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Linfield has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Carrick Rangers has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Linfield scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 0.57. Carrick Rangers scores 1.07 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 29% of Linfield's games and 50% of Carrick Rangers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 43%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Linfield has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.26 per game. Linfield takes 11.9 shots per game, while Carrick Rangers takes 9.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Linfield leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Carrick Rangers leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Linfield's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Carrick Rangers, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NIFL Premiership games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
2 : 1
Second half

Game stats

55Possession (%)45
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
14Shots13
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
7Shots on target4
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.66xG1.38
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
6Corners7
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
40Dangerous attacks38
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
9Fouls2
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1Cards0
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.43Goals scored / game1.07
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.57Goals allowed / game1.29
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
54%Average possession44%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
4.36Shots on target / game3.57
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.93Shots per game9.29
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
4.36Shots on target3.57
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
12%Shot conversion11.5%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
54%Possession44%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.56xG for1.26
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.09xG against1.54
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Shooting quality

Linfield: BalancedCarrick Rangers: Balanced
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Linfield is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / game - Linfield · 0.6 pts / game - Carrick Rangers

Linfield
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
57% W29% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-2
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Carrick Rangers
LLWLL
Season result split
36% W7% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-8
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Linfield is 34% better for: goals scored per game.

1.43 goals / game - Linfield · 1.07 goals / game - Carrick Rangers

Linfield is 126% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.57 goals / game - Linfield · 1.29 goals / game - Carrick Rangers

Linfield scoring profile: very strong

Linfield scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: mixed

Carrick Rangers scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 meczów).

20Goals scored (season)15
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
8Goals conceded (season)18
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
2Average goals per game2.36
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
5Goals scored (last 5)3
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal79%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
43%2 goals14%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
21%3 goals7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%4 goals7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal71%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
14%2 goals50%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%3 goals7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%4 goals0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%BTTS in both halves0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
21%Scored in both halves7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
40%BTTS - last 540%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time7%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Linfield is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / game - Linfield · 0.86 pts / game - Carrick Rangers

Linfield - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing
Carrick Rangers - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per game (1st half)0.86
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0.57
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.71Average goals (1st half)1.36
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
86%Clean sheet before half-time36%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
57%No goal before half-time57%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per game (2nd half)1.14
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
71%Clean sheet after half-time57%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
43%No goal after half-time57%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Linfield - second-half results

43% W43% D14% L
24
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

21% W50% D29% L
12
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding257%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Linfield - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.20
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Carrick Rangers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.401.20
Goals scored / game0.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Linfield
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
4
2
46-60
6
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
6
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
5
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.18
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Linfield

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
46%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LinfieldLigaCarrick Rangers
Average goals per game 2.002.65 2.36
Both teams scored 29%46% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%49% 43%
Clean sheets 57%28% 29%
Goal before half-time 57%76% 79%
Goal after half-time 71%78% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / game
1.23
Away goals / game
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LinfieldGoalChris McKee
  2. LinfieldSubstitutionOn: Ethan McGeeOff: Chris McKee
  3. LinfieldYellow cardEthan McGee
  4. Carrick RangersSubstitutionOn: Ryan StrainOff: Benjamin Buchanan-Rolleston
  5. Carrick RangersGoalAidan Steele
  6. Carrick RangersSubstitutionOn: Seanan ClucasOff: Billy Joe Burns
  7. LinfieldGoalMatt Yates
  8. LinfieldGoalMatt Yates

FAQ

What was the result of Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Linfield 3:1 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

Linfield score 1.43 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.07. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Linfield's matches and 50% of Carrick Rangers's.

What form are Linfield and Carrick Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Linfield have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.