Linfield vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Linfield play Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 16:00. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Linfield: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Linfield scores 1.64 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.67 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Linfield 41%, Carrick Rangers 67%. Over 2.5: Linfield 49%, Carrick Rangers 62%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Linfield has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.32. Linfield: 12.3 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 9.7.

Match halves

Linfield: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.03. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Linfield: 61-75 (18 goals). Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
14Shots13
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
7Shots on target4
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.66xG1.38
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
6Corners7
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
40Dangerous attacks38
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
9Fouls2
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1Cards0
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.64Goals scored / match1.67
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.87Goals conceded / match1.56
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
54%Average possession44%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
4.85Shots on target / match4.1
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.26Shots per match9.72
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
4.85Shots on target4.1
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
13.4%Shot conversion17.2%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
54%Possession44%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.56xG for1.32
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.16xG against1.44
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Shooting quality

Linfield: Efficient finishingCarrick Rangers: Counter-attacking
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)40%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carrick Rangers is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Linfield · 1.4 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Linfield
WLLLW
Season result split
51% W23% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-9-10
1.77 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
14-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Carrick Rangers
DLWWL
Season result split
38% W21% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-8-16
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-4-8
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Linfield is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.87 goals / match - Linfield · 1.56 goals / match - Carrick Rangers

Linfield scoring profile: very strong

Linfield scores in 72% of matches (28 of 39 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 39 matches).

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: strong

Carrick Rangers scores in 85% of matches (33 of 39 matches), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 41% (16 of 39 matches).

64Goals scored (season)65
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
34Goals conceded (season)61
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
2.51Average goals in match3.23
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
7Goals scored (last 5)10
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
9Goals conceded (last 5)9
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal85%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
41%2 goals38%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
31%3 goals26%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
10%4 goals10%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal79%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
23%2 goals49%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
5%3 goals18%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%4 goals3%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time33%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0%BTTS in both halves8%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
33%Scored in both halves23%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
60%BTTS - last 580%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time51%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
49%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Linfield is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - Linfield · 1.46 pts / match - Carrick Rangers

Linfield - half-time state
38% leading41% draw21% trailing
Carrick Rangers - half-time state
36% leading38% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1.46
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.62Goals scored (1st half)0.97
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.69
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.95Average goals (1st half)1.67
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
72%Clean sheet before half-time44%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
51%No goal before half-time41%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.64Points per match (2nd half)1.1
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.03Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.56
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
62%Clean sheet after half-time44%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers
44%No goal after half-time51%
LinfieldCarrick Rangers

Linfield - second-half results

44% W33% R23% P
61
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 51%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

26% W33% R41% P
57
Half-time points
38
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding106%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Linfield - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Carrick Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Linfield
ScoredConceded
10
5
0-15
8
5
16-30
6
3
31-45
10
8
46-60
18
7
61-75
12
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (18 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
6
10
0-15
9
7
16-30
23
10
31-45
6
9
46-60
10
10
61-75
11
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (23 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.87
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Linfield

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-22.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

LinfieldLigaCarrick Rangers
Average goals in match 2.512.94 3.23
Both teams scored 41%52% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 49%56% 62%
Clean sheets 41%26% 21%
Goal before half-time 67%76% 82%
Goal after half-time 74%80% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Linfield 0 - 1 - 1 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

The NIFL Premiership match finished Linfield 3:1 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Linfield and Carrick Rangers?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Linfield won 0, Carrick Rangers won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

Linfield score 1.64 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.67. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Linfield's matches and 67% of Carrick Rangers's.

What form are Linfield and Carrick Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Linfield have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Linfield vs Carrick Rangers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.