Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków: match statistics
Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Lipno Stęszew play Noteć Czarnków in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Lipno Stęszew: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Noteć Czarnków: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Lipno Stęszew scores 1.38 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Noteć Czarnków scores 1.41 and concedes 1.35. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Lipno Stęszew 50%, Noteć Czarnków 44%. Over 2.5: Lipno Stęszew 50%, Noteć Czarnków 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Noteć Czarnków has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.46. Lipno Stęszew: 9.3 shots per match, Noteć Czarnków: 9.0.
Match halves
Lipno Stęszew: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.71. Noteć Czarnków: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Lipno Stęszew: 0-15 (13 goals). Noteć Czarnków: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I expect a narrow advantage for the home side. Lipno at home scores on average 1.29 goals per match and concedes 1.14, while Noteć away scores 1.38 and concedes 1.69 per match. The visitors create more chances (avg. 13.2 shots and 4.9 on target, xG 1.59) versus Lipno (11.45 shots, 4.45 on target, xG 1.46), but they have a high percentage of away matches without a goal (46% vs 14% for the hosts). In the last 5 matches Lipno has scored 5 and conceded 5 with an average of 1.6 points per game, while Noteć have 6 scored and 8 conceded and 1.4 points, which indicates weaker defensive form for the visitors. Due to better defensive stability and a lower share of matches without a goal I give a slight edge to Lipno and expect a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Lipno Stęszew | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Noteć Czarnków is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew · 2 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Noteć Czarnków is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew · 1.35 goals / match - Noteć Czarnków
Lipno Stęszew scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Noteć Czarnków scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Lipno Stęszew keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Lipno Stęszew
Over / Under — Noteć Czarnków
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lipno Stęszew is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew · 1.15 pts / match - Noteć Czarnków
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Lipno Stęszew - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Lipno Stęszew
Noteć Czarnków
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Lipno Stęszew | Liga | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.97 | 3.02 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Lipno Stęszew 0 - 0 - 1 Noteć Czarnków. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Lipno Stęszew 1:0 Noteć Czarnków. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
Lipno Stęszew score 1.38 goals per game on average and Noteć Czarnków 1.41. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Lipno Stęszew's matches and 44% of Noteć Czarnków's.
What form are Lipno Stęszew and Noteć Czarnków in?
Over the last 5 games Lipno Stęszew have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Noteć Czarnków 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.