Líšeň vs Viktoria Plzeň: match statistics

Viktoria Plzeň have a clear attacking advantage: away from home, they average 18 shots and 8 on target, while Líšeň manage just 9 shots and 1.67 on target at home. The visitors also create better chances, as reflected by their average xG of 2.13 compared with the hosts’ 0.97, and they have scored 14 goals in their last five matches, compared with Líšeň’s mere 5. The hosts have lost all of their home matches so far, conceding an average of 3.33 goals per game and keeping no clean sheets. Plzeň’s defense is also prone to errors, as they concede an average of 5 goals away from home, so Líšeň’s chances of scoring and the draw outcome remain realistic. Nevertheless, the visitors’ superior points form over their last five matches—1.6 points per game compared with 1.2—and their advantage in chance creation support a Viktoria win.

The seasonal data for both teams is clearly goal-oriented: both Líšeň and Viktoria Pilzno recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches, and neither side kept a clean sheet. Líšeň concede an average of 1.75 goals per match, while Pilzno score as many as 5.0 goals and average 8.0 shots on target, strongly supporting at least one goal for the visitors. The hosts have been less clinical recently, scoring an average of 1.0 goal across their last five matches, but Pilzno’s defense conceded an average of 2.4 goals during that period and posted an xG against of 1.33. Pilzno create a high volume of chances, with an average xG of 2.21 in their last five matches, while Líšeň allowed opponents 1.47 xG. The only risk to BTTS is that Líšeň produced this outcome in just 40% of their last five matches; however, the defensive weaknesses of both sides and the visitors’ attacking potential make a Goal/Goal scenario more likely. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

The match profile clearly favors goals: both teams have exceeded 1.5 goals per game in 100% of their matches so far this season. Viktoria Plzeň score an average of 5.0 goals, register 8.0 shots on target per match, and have an average xG of 2.13, while Líšeň concede an average of 1.75 goals. In their last five appearances, the visitors scored 14 goals, and at least 3 goals were scored in 80% of their matches. Líšeň have also failed to keep a clean sheet in every match, with their opponents scoring at least once in each game. Over 1.5 is the strongest selection, as it requires only two goals with a projected total of 3.60 goals and Plzeň's very strong attacking indicators.

The strongest signal points to Viktoria Plzeň leading at the break and securing a full-time victory: in their last five matches, the visitors averaged 1.4 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.2 for Líšeň. The hosts were behind at half-time in 80% of their five most recent games, while Viktoria were either leading or level at the break in 80% of their matches in that sample. The visitors’ superiority is also evident in attack, with an xG of 2.13 compared with Líšeň’s 1.45, while their average of 8.0 shots on target comfortably exceeds the opponents’ 3.25. Across their last five appearances, Viktoria scored an average of 2.8 goals per match, whereas Líšeň conceded 1.6, reinforcing the scenario of the visitors maintaining their lead after the interval. Neither team kept a clean sheet in 0% of the available season data, so a possible Líšeň goal does not alter the assessment that 2/2 remains the most likely outcome.