Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Albion: match statistics

Liverpool FC Montevideo are in better current form: they have collected 8 points from their last five matches, compared with Albion’s 5, while conceding just 3 goals to the opponent’s 7. The hosts create slightly higher-quality chances at home, averaging 1.40 xG compared with Albion’s 1.19 away from home, and also record more shots (11.2 to 9.3). However, Albion have a very solid away defense, conceding just 0.7 goals per match on average, and have lost only 10% of their away fixtures. Both teams average 1.1 goals in their respective home and away matches, while draws account for 40% of their games in these conditions. The combination of Liverpool’s improved defense and Albion’s away solidity points to a closely contested, rather low-scoring draw.

Liverpool FC Montevideo have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches, while Albion saw this outcome in as many as 80% of their last five games. The hosts score an average of 1.75 goals at home but have kept a clean sheet in only 17% of matches, which strengthens Albion’s chances of finding the net. Albion average 1.10 goals scored, with an xG of 1.19 compared with Liverpool’s average 1.43 xG conceded, so the visitors should create chances. At the same time, Albion concede only 0.70 goals per away game and have kept 40% clean sheets, meaning the BTTS - Yes edge is moderate, but still preferable to the BTTS - No scenario, in which at least one team fails to score.

The projected total of 2.35 goals reflects the moderate attacking potential of both sides: Liverpool’s average xG stands at 1.28 and Albion’s at 1.19, while the corresponding figures allowed by their opponents are 1.35 and 1.43. Albion concedes an average of just 0.70 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in 40% of its games, limiting the hosts’ chances of producing a very high total. In their last five matches, Liverpool scored 4 goals and conceded 3, meaning their games averaged just 1.4 goals. The 3.5 line is further supported by seasonal trends: fewer than four goals were scored in 58% of Liverpool’s matches and as many as 90% of Albion’s, while Over 3.5 goals landed in only 10% of the visitors’ games. Under 3.5 therefore holds a clear advantage, even if both teams are capable of scoring once.

Liverpool FC Montevideo have a clearly stronger first-half profile over their last five matches: they led at the break in 40% of them and were never trailing at half-time, while Albion were behind after 45 minutes in as many as 60% of their games. During this period, the hosts conceded just 0.4 goals before the break, compared with Albion’s average of 1.0, while Liverpool also held an advantage in average first-half goals scored, 0.8 to 0.6. The overall form across their last five matches also slightly favors the home side, who averaged 1.6 points and lost only 20% of their games, compared with Albion’s 1.0 points and 40% defeat rate. Although Albion have the better season-long defensive record, conceding an average of 0.7 goals, the current data on the opening stages of matches primarily points to Liverpool taking the lead and holding on to it until full-time.