Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Danubio: match statistics
Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Danubio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Liverpool FC Montevideo play Danubio in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 23:30. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Liverpool FC Montevideo: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Danubio: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Liverpool FC Montevideo scores 1.15 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Danubio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Liverpool FC Montevideo 45%, Danubio 55%. Over 2.5: Liverpool FC Montevideo 40%, Danubio 45%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Liverpool FC Montevideo has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.24. Liverpool FC Montevideo: 11.0 shots per match, Danubio: 9.3.
Match halves
Liverpool FC Montevideo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.40. Danubio: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Liverpool FC Montevideo: 31-45+ (7 goals). Danubio: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a home win because Liverpool FC Montevideo creates more chances than Danubio: average home xG is 1.40 versus 0.95 xG for Danubio away, and average shots are 11.83 versus 6.86 (shots on target 4.17 vs 2.57). The visitors are more efficient in conversion (15% conversion vs 10% for the hosts), but their much lower volume of chances limits their goal-scoring potential — average goals 1.17 for the home side versus 1.00 for Danubio away. Defensively both teams are similar by basic metrics (Liverpool concedes 1.67 goals at home, Danubio 1.71 away), however the hosts have a lower xG against (1.18 vs 1.57) and a higher clean sheet rate (33% vs 14%), giving them an advantage in controlling the match. Recent form over the last 5 matches is balanced in goal output (hosts 7 goals vs visitors 6) and average points (1.0 vs 1.2), with Liverpool having conceded 9 goals in the last 5 matches versus 7 for Danubio, which indicates some risk on the counter. Based on this I assess the probabilities as: Liverpool win 50%, draw 30%, Danubio win 20%, expecting an even contest with a slight edge for the hosts in chance creation.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Liverpool FC Montevideo | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Liverpool FC Montevideo is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 0.6 pts / match - Danubio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liverpool FC Montevideo is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1 goals / match - Danubio
Liverpool FC Montevideo is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1.35 goals / match - Danubio
Liverpool FC Montevideo scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Danubio scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Liverpool FC Montevideo keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Liverpool FC Montevideo
Over / Under — Danubio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Danubio is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Liverpool FC Montevideo · 1.4 pts / match - Danubio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liverpool FC Montevideo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Danubio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Liverpool FC Montevideo
Danubio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Liverpool FC Montevideo | Liga | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.42 | • 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Liverpool FC Montevideo 0 - 2 - 0 Danubio. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Danubio?
The Primera División match finished Liverpool FC Montevideo 3:0 Danubio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool FC Montevideo and Danubio?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Liverpool FC Montevideo won 0, Danubio won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Danubio?
Liverpool FC Montevideo score 1.15 goals per game on average and Danubio 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Liverpool FC Montevideo's matches and 55% of Danubio's.
What form are Liverpool FC Montevideo and Danubio in?
Over the last 5 games Liverpool FC Montevideo have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Danubio 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Danubio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Liverpool FC Montevideo vs Danubio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.