Liverpool vs Burnley: match statistics
Liverpool decisively outperforms Burnley in every statistical metric. The hosts win 60% of their home matches, boasting a positive goal difference (+5) and averaging 1.5 goals scored per home game while conceding just 1. Burnley displays disastrous away form with an 80% defeat rate, a goal difference of -14, and zero clean sheets. The gap in possession quality (62% vs 40%) and expected goals (1.85 vs 1.03 xG) further confirms Liverpool's superiority. The recent form of both teams (Liverpool: 1.8 PPG vs Burnley: 1.0 PPG), combined with the fact that the visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches, makes a home win the most probable scenario. Burnley may offer resistance, hence a slight probability of a draw, but their defensive frailty in away games (averaging 2.6 goals conceded) practically rules out their success.
Liverpool vs Burnley: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Liverpool played against Burnley in Premier League (England). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Liverpool has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Burnley has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Liverpool scores 1.52 goals per game and allows 1.33. Burnley scores 1.05 and allows 1.95. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Liverpool's games and 57% of Burnley's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 52%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Liverpool has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.05 per game. Liverpool takes 14.7 shots per game, while Burnley takes 8.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Liverpool leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. Burnley leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Liverpool's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Burnley, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Liverpool decisively outperforms Burnley in every statistical metric. The hosts win 60% of their home matches, boasting a positive goal difference (+5) and averaging 1.5 goals scored per home game while conceding just 1. Burnley displays disastrous away form with an 80% defeat rate, a goal difference of -14, and zero clean sheets. The gap in possession quality (62% vs 40%) and expected goals (1.85 vs 1.03 xG) further confirms Liverpool's superiority. The recent form of both teams (Liverpool: 1.8 PPG vs Burnley: 1.0 PPG), combined with the fact that the visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 away matches, makes a home win the most probable scenario. Burnley may offer resistance, hence a slight probability of a draw, but their defensive frailty in away games (averaging 2.6 goals conceded) practically rules out their success.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Liverpool | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Liverpool is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Liverpool · 0.6 pts / game - Burnley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Liverpool is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
1.52 goals / game - Liverpool · 1.05 goals / game - Burnley
Liverpool is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Liverpool · 1.95 goals / game - Burnley
Liverpool scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
Burnley scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Liverpool keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Liverpool
Over / Under - Burnley
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Liverpool is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Liverpool · 0.71 pts / game - Burnley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Liverpool - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Liverpool
Burnley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Liverpool | Liga | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.86 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Liverpool's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Burnley. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Liverpool vs Burnley?
The Premier League match finished Liverpool 1:1 Burnley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Liverpool vs Burnley?
Liverpool score 1.52 goals per game on average and Burnley 1.05. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Liverpool's matches and 57% of Burnley's.
What form are Liverpool and Burnley in?
Over the last 5 games Liverpool have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Burnley 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Liverpool vs Burnley?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.