Livingston vs Ayr United: match statistics
Livingston vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Livingston played against Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Tony Macaroni Arena. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Livingston has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Ayr United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Livingston scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 0.88. Ayr United scores 0.88 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 1.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Livingston's games and 38% of Ayr United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 13%, compared with league averages of 33% for BTTS and 23% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Livingston has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.07 per game. Livingston takes 10.1 shots per game, while Ayr United takes 7.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Livingston leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Ayr United leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Livingston's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Ayr United, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 1.95 goals. Both teams score in 33% of games, and 23% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Livingston sit 3rd in the table, while Ayr United are 8th; in their last five matches, the hosts have picked up 7 points, compared with 4 for the visitors. Home advantage is reinforced by 2 wins in 4 home fixtures, while Ayr have won just 1 of their 4 away games and lost 2. Livingston average 1.5 goals at home with an xG of 1.57, while the visitors score 0.75 goals away from home with an xG of 0.84, pointing to a clear difference in the quality of chances created. The hosts concede an average of 0.75 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in half of their matches, whereas Ayr have failed to score in half of their away games. These figures support a Livingston win, although the hosts' 25% draw rate at home leaves a genuine possibility of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to Ayr United failing to score: the visitors have been held scoreless in 50% of their away matches, averaging just 0.75 goals and 0.84 xG. Livingston concede an average of 0.97 xG at home, further limiting the visitors’ chances. The hosts have better scoring prospects, recording 1.29 xG at home, while Ayr concede 1.46 xG away. BTTS - Yes has landed in 50% of Livingston’s home matches and just 25% of Ayr’s away fixtures, although the figure stands at 40% for both teams across their last five matches. Therefore, the more likely scenario is BTTS - No—meaning at least one team fails to score—with Ayr United the likelier side to draw a blank.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in any of the Ayr United matches analyzed or in 75% of Livingston’s matches. Both teams also rarely score at least three goals in a match—Under 2.5 goals landed in 100% of Ayr United’s matches and 75% of Livingston’s. The visitors’ attacking potential is limited: they average 0.75 goals and an xG of 0.84, compared with the hosts’ 1.0 goals and 1.29 xG, respectively. Over their last five matches, Ayr United averaged 0.8 goals, while Livingston averaged 1.6, pointing to a home-side advantage but not a high-scoring game. A projected total of 2.05 goals and the league average of 1.95 goals per match further support the Under 3.5 goals pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Livingston leading at the break and holding on to the lead until the final whistle: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 2 of the 4 matches covered by the statistics, while Ayr United were trailing at that stage in 2 of 4. In their last 5 matches, the visitors went into half-time behind on 3 occasions, whereas Livingston conceded an average of just 0.2 goals before the break. The hosts also have a clear edge in chance creation: their average xG is 1.29 compared with 0.84 for the visitors, and Ayr allow opponents chances worth 1.46 xG per match. Livingston averaged 1.6 goals in their last 5 matches, compared with Ayr's 0.8, further strengthening the case for a home win. A half-time draw remains a significant alternative, but in the statistics provided Livingston led at the break more often than the teams were level, so the 1/1 scenario carries the highest probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Livingston | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Livingston is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Livingston · 0.8 pts / game - Ayr United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Livingston is 70% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Livingston · 0.88 goals / game - Ayr United
Livingston is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Livingston · 1.13 goals / game - Ayr United
Livingston scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).
Ayr United scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while Livingston keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Livingston
Over / Under - Ayr United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Livingston is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Livingston · 1.25 pts / game - Ayr United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Livingston - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Livingston
Ayr United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Livingston | Liga | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.38 | 1.95 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 38% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 63% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Livingston vs Ayr United?
The Championship match finished Livingston 1:2 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Livingston vs Ayr United?
Livingston score 1.50 goals per game on average and Ayr United 0.88. The Championship average is 1.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Livingston's matches and 38% of Ayr United's.
What form are Livingston and Ayr United in?
Over the last 5 games Livingston have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ayr United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Livingston vs Ayr United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Livingston vs Ayr United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.